Tentative Schedule
The 2020 Conference of the System Dynamics Society

All times are shown in Central European Summer Time

Sunday July 19

08:00 Sun Other (258): Virtual Satchel Stuffing (Fløyen 3D Experience)

13:00 Sun Parallel (253): SD Colloquium Breakout Session #1, chaired by Laura Upegui, Jennifer Johnson (Bryggen)

Breakout Sessions, by Jennifer Johnson, Laura Upegui  Abstract

15:00 Sun Colloquium Poster Session

Poster (259): SD Colloquium Live 3D Poster Session (Fløyen 3D Experience)

Group model building with causal loop diagrams to foster capabilities for sustainable design and product development, by Matilda Watz, Sophie I. Hallstedt  Abstract

What effect does the death of bees have on nature and the economy?, by Melanie Hensel, Lars Weber  Abstract

2020 – The year of the electrical vehicle market change?, by Rica Willeke, Lars Weber  Abstract

DLP Dynamics: an exploration of the system, by Egle Mickaite, Sander Zeijlemaker  Abstract

Overcoming traditional Performance Management in Public Healthcare Institutions: The need for a DPM Approach, by Angeliki Lenakaki, Enzo Bivona  Abstract

Hold market share despite demographics? Customer growth modelling under consideration of a customer journey, by Christoph Reich, Lars Weber  Abstract

The Algoa Bay Marine Planning Tool: An Exploratory System Dynamics Model to Support Marine Planning and Management, by Estee Vermeulen, Jai Clifford-Holmes, Teun Sluijs, Ursula Scharler, Amanda Lombard  Abstract

Systemic Conceptual Modeling of Patient Flow in a Hospital Emergency Department: A case example, by Gaute Terning, Eric Brun  Abstract

Scaffolding feedback in complex dynamic system context: Effect of online interactive learning environments, by Aklilu Tilahun Tadesse  Abstract

Economic evaluation in system dynamics modelling to inform public policy decisions - a systematic review, by Nidhee Jadeja  Abstract

Poster (260): SD Colloquium Live 3D Poster Session (Fløyen 3D Experience)

Shifting the path-dependency of bottled water towards urban drinking water security, by Sofia Valeria Cortes Calderon, David Collste, María Mancilla-García  Abstract

Why Recruitment Policy For Growth May Fail? A Simulation Approach To Understanding Dynamics Of Growth And Recruitment, by Marjan Shamayeli  Abstract

Dynamics of Hybridity of Attention in Organisational Decision-making, by Ke Zhou, Nici Zimmermann  Abstract

Using palaeoecology and system dynamics to inform conservation of a biodiversity-rich, but endangered, ecosystem, by Cherie Dirk, Birgit Kopainsky, Lindsey Gillson  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model for Higher Education Technology Transfer Analysis, by Laura Shupp, Osamah A. Almuayyad  Abstract

Implementation Dynamics of a Weather-Informed Malaria Control Policy for Uganda: A Preliminary Outlook, by Andrew Mwesigwa, Fiona Tulina, Agnes Rwashana Semwanga  Abstract

Poster (254): SD Colloquium Live 3D Poster Session, chaired by Laura Upegui, Jennifer Johnson (Fløyen 3D Experience)

A Study of the Dynamics of Human Capacity and Innovation Capability in the Manufacturing Sector of Nigeria, by Victor Sobanke  Abstract

Registered Nurse Shortage in New Mexico: System Dynamics Modeling as an Innovative Approach to Strengthening the Workforce, by Melissa Cole, Christine E Kasper, Jan Martin  Abstract

Are microgrids closed loops? May be!, by Johanna Olovsson  Abstract

Investigation of Multi-Method Modeling, Simulation, & Analytics to Understand and Manage Messy Problems in National Security, by Anne M. Johnson  Abstract

Serial killer neophytes- How do immigrant plant species become an invasive problem for an ecosystem, by Verena Sonderer, Lars Weber  Abstract

Development of Nicotine Use among Adolescents: Examining the Impact of E-Cigarettes on Exclusive Cigarette Smoking and Dual Use, by Courtney Brackin, Arielle Selya, Pal Davidsen  Abstract

Demographic Change and Skills Shortage in the County of Höxter in North Rhine - Westphalia, Germany, by Saskia Dreier, Lars Weber  Abstract

Air cargo - consumption at the expense of the environment?, by Julia Rempe, Lars Weber  Abstract

Origin of the US real estate crisis, by Philip Schmidt, Lars Weber  Abstract

Multi-tiered Approach to Refugee Support- Indonesia, by Braveheart Gillani  Abstract

18:00 Sun Plenary (255): SD Colloquium Keynote and Question & Answer, chaired by Jennifer Johnson, Laura Upegui (Plenary)

Building a Professional Network: Diversity, Inclusion, and Paying it Forward, by Jennifer Johnson, Peter Hovmand  Abstract

20:00 Sun Other (257): Welcome Reception (Fløyen 3D Experience)

21:00 Sun Parallel (256): SD Colloquium Breakout Session #2, chaired by Jennifer Johnson, Laura Upegui (Bryggen)

22:00 Sun Meeting (153): Lupina Award Full Presentation and Health Policy SIG Annual Meeting, chaired by Sarah Boyar (Sognefjord)

Health Policy SIG Annual Meeting, by Sarah Boyar  Abstract

Monday July 20

08:00 Mon Plenary (251): Conference Opening (Plenary)

08:30 Mon Parallel Sessions 1

Parallel (138): Using AI and Machine Learning for Building Models, chaired by Thomas Wittig (Rundemanen)

Is Observed Data Adequate to Automate the Construction of Causal Models?, by Wang Zhao, Susan Howick, John Quigley  Abstract

Automated Discovery of Polarity from Data in System Dynamics Context, by Nefel Tellioglu, Yaman Barlas  Abstract

Automated Diagram Generation to Build Understanding and Usability, by William Schoenberg  Abstract

Parallel (184): Resources and Trade (Nordnes)

Blessing or Burden? Another Look at the Natural Resource Curse, by Saeed Langarudi, Michael Radzicki  Abstract

Modeling infrastructure dynamics of Iran ICT industry using system dynamics approach, by Maryam Mansuri, Morteza Mahmoudzadeh  Abstract

Reinforcing feedback loop between climate impact and agriculture emissions – A global perspective, by Roberto Pasqualino, Aled Jones  Abstract

Parallel (142): Climate Change Impacts to Agriculture. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept. (Damsgårdsfjellet)

A Group Model Building approach for climate change adaptation of agricultural systems in Northeast Lower Saxony, by Rodrigo Valencia, Sabine Egerer, Maria Manez  Abstract

A leverage points analysis of a qualitative system dynamics model for climate change adaptation in agriculture, by Sabine Egerer, Rodrigo Valencia, Maria Manez  Abstract

Adaptive investment pathway for farmer security: group modeling of sand river based social-ecological systems of Eastern Africa, by Pooja Prasad, Poolad Karimi, Jeremiah Kiptala, Moses Mwangi, Eyasu Yazew, Pieter van der Zaag  Abstract

Parallel (147): Education and Community Dynamics. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept. (Sognefjord)

Empowering Communities: Power devolution in Community-Based Natural Resource Management, by Christina Gkini, Ashish Shrestha, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Using palaeoecology and system dynamics to inform conservation of a biodiversity-rich, but endangered, ecosystem, by Cherie Dirk, Birgit Kopainsky, Jai Clifford-Holmes, Lindsey Gillson  Abstract

Getting to Impact at Scale: Diffusion of Educational Innovations Through Community-Based Propagation, by Juliette Rooney-Varga, Florian Kapmeier, Andrew Jones  Abstract

Feedback (187): Environmental and Energy Resilience (Fisketorget)

How to develop resilience, by Tibor Kiss  Abstract

Resilience Decision Support Modeling with System Dynamics, by Gokhan Ozkan, Hilmi Ozdemir  Abstract

A System Dynamics model of sustainable agriculture in a fringe environment. The Roman archeological setting of the Kharga Oasis, by Stefano Mazzoleni, Francesco Giannino, Fabrizio Cartenì, Mauro Moreno, Ludovico Fusco, Antonello Migliozzi, Corinna Rossi  Abstract

Case Study of the Energy Consumption and carbon Emissions in Lucknow City based on systemic Dynamic Approach, by ABDUR RAOOF KHAN  Abstract

Parallel (214): Medical Therapeutics. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. (Ulriken)

Modeling the Dynamics of Vicious Cycles Involved in Heart-Respiratory Failure, by Sema Çömez  Abstract

Modeling The Pharmacodynamcs of rHuEPO, a Blood Doping Drug, by Feyyaz Senturk, Yaman Barlas, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model of Data-Driven Precision Medicine Ecosystem, by Tomi Sorasalmi, Jaakko Lähteenmäki, Peter Ylen  Abstract

Parallel (213): Health Service Delivery. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. (Bryggen)

The role of tobacco and alcohol use in the interaction of social determinants of non-communicable diseases in Nepal, by Sudesh Sharma, David Lounsbury, Anna Matheson, Danielle Lambrick, James Faulkner, Abhinav Vaidya, Rachel Page  Abstract

Using population segmentation approach to project future health and social care needs (HASS) among the Elderly in Singapore, by John Ansah, David Matchar  Abstract

System Dynamics Modeling of Health Workforce Planning to Address Future Challenges of Thailand’s Universal Health Coverage, by Borwornsom Leerapan, Pard Teekasap, Nipaporn Urwannachotima, Wararat Jaichuen, Kwanpracha Chiangchaisakultha, Khunjira Udomaksorn, Aronrag Cooper Meeyai  Abstract

Parallel (125): Using SD Models to Teach Content, chaired by Rod MacDonald (Sandviksfjellet)

Teaching Homeostasis to Secondary School Anatomy and Physiology Students, by Diana Fisher, Edward Gallaher  Abstract

Using Systems Thinking, System Dynamics and Simulation for Sustainability Education: A Study Design, by Caroline Brennan, Owen Molloy, Jim Duggan  Abstract

The Perceptions Of Teachers On Using The Systems Thinking Approach In In-class Applications, by Goksen Akyol Kizilkaya, Eray Egmir, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

WIP (204): Public Institutions and Innovations. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by (Hardangerfjord)

Exploitees vs. Exploiters: Myth or Reality - Dynamics of exploitation in academia (Part 1), by Davood Qorbani  Abstract

Organization Ambidexterity for Public Industrial Research Institutes, by Jian Hung Chen, Chang-Lung Yen  Abstract

Mapping Interactions Between Food Security and Poverty, by Raquel Froese Buzogany, Birgit Kopainsky, Paulo Goncalves  Abstract

Towards efficient policies for sustainable Public-Private Partnerships: Case Study of a Solid Waste Management System in Greece, by Eirini Pagoni, Patroklos Georgiadis  Abstract

A System Dynamics Modeling and Policy Analysis for the Development of Science Parks in Shanghai, by Haiyan Yan, Lingyun Zhan, Haonan Qu, Bo Xu, ANQI ZHANG  Abstract

Dynamic modelling of government debt in Ukraine, by Sanjeet Jaiswar  Abstract

WIP (181): Electric power industry (Løvstakken)

Towards improving sustainable access to electricity in rural areas of Tanzania: learning from the past preparing for the future, by Francesco Tonini, Adedoyin Adebodun Adeleke, Francesco Davide Sanvito, Emanuela Colombo, Marta Grimoldi, Fabrizio Colombelli  Abstract

Modeling Household Energy Consumption Behavior in areas with unreliable electricity supply, by Arpit Agarwal, Jayendran Venkateswaran  Abstract

Remote norther electricity markets - Electricity in the dynamics of a mixed economy, by Magnus de Witt  Abstract

Decarbonizing electricity generation: Final Targets vs. Imposing a Path, by Busra Gencer, Ann van Ackere  Abstract

System Dynamics modeling for grid-interconnected business model for rural electrification in India, by Payal Dey  Abstract

10:00 Mon Parallel Sessions 2

Parallel (168): Business and Social Good, chaired by Suzanne Parsel-Dew (Rundemanen)

Impact of the relational motive to co-create value on service quality, by Jorge Sousa  Abstract

Development of the United States Senior Housing Industry, by Will Noyes  Abstract

Business dynamics of flexibility aggregators: Managing prosumer participation and steering clear of being “too small to bid", by Merla Kubli  Abstract

WIP (186): Economics, chaired by David Wheat (Nordnes)

Debt resilience dynamics: exploring vulnerability of macrosystem, by Hennadii Hryhoriev  Abstract

Conduct of the Monetary Policy during the Macroeconomic Instability, by Iryna Lukianenko, Mariia Nasachenko  Abstract

System Dynamic Representations of Theoretical Macroeconomic Models, by Marianna Oliskevych, Valerii Kozytskyi  Abstract

A dynamic analysis of the key destabilizing factors on the Ukrainian Labor Market. Wage management, by Tetiana Donkohlova  Abstract

Community-based Understanding of Solar Entrepreneurship Development Dynamics in Rural India, by Rajat Mishra, Sayli Shiradkar, Jayendran Venkateswaran, Kelsey Werner  Abstract

Small Business Taxation in Ukraine as a Factor of Labor Market Regulation, by Alina Novik, Iryna Lukianenko, Olena Primierova  Abstract

Parallel (224): Ecological applications. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Cornelia van Daalen (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Building Insights in a Complex Social-Ecological System: A Case from the Banni Grasslands in India, by Kabir Sharma, Mihir Mathur, Ankila Hiremath, Abi Vanak, Nirav Mehta, Madhura Niphadkar, Ramya Ravi, Ovee Thorat  Abstract

The Algoa Bay Marine Planning Tool: An Exploratory System Dynamics Model to Support Marine Planning and Management, by Estee Vermeulen, Jai Clifford-Holmes, Teun Sluijs, Ursula Scharler, Amanda Lombard  Abstract

The Impacts of Climate Change on the Dynamics of Housing Market, by Mohamadali Morshedi Shahrebabaki, Saeideh Fallah-Fini, Nader Naderpajouh  Abstract

WIP (209): Health Service Delivery. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by (Bryggen)

The Immunization System at Community Level: the Case of Rwanda, by Nico Vandaele, Catherine Decouttere  Abstract

No time for that: Engaging busy stakeholders through Web-based SD model-building, -exercising, and -extending, by Stephan Brown  Abstract

Dynamics of the Work Performance of Accredited Social Health Activists (ASHA) in Bihar, India, by Carmen Y.J. Lee  Abstract

Understanding Public Trust in Healthcare Services and Doctor-Patient Relationship in the Contexts of Medical Errors, by Phanuwich Kaewkamjonchai, Peeraya Piancharoen, Kornkanok Saringkarisate, Sorrawit Rojcheewin, Pongpat Wananukul, Adithep Suttawas, Piyawan Limpanyalert, Borwornsom Leerapan  Abstract

Effective Strategies for Children's Environmental Health in the Solomon Islands, by Claire Brereton, Matteo Pedercini  Abstract

WIP (131): ST/SD Activities in Primary Schools, and Good Mentoring, chaired by Stefano Armenia (Sandviksfjellet)

How Sweet is Sugar?, by Ulkem Yararbas, Emre Goktepe  Abstract

Kindergarten Applications of Systems Thinking in Turkey from 2014 to 2020, by Gulnaz Caglayan, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

Lou - Peer Victimization in Schools, by Gulnaz Caglayan, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

World Climate Game for Primary School, by Ulkem Yararbas, Emre Goktepe  Abstract

Primary School Applications of Systems Thinking in Turkey from 2014 to 2020, by Goksen Akyol Kizilkaya, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

Journeyman Years for young modelers – a generation contract approach to secure good mentoring, by Max Kleemann  Abstract

Parallel (155): Frontiers in Logistics Management (Ulriken)

Testing the impact of risk attitude on the Bullwhip effect, by Davood Qorbani, Imke Gommans, Hubert Korzilius  Abstract

Study on Cooperative Deliver Focusing on Delivery Times of Truck Drivers in Multi-story Buildings, by Tomohiro Mori, Satoru Kobayakawa, Hiroki Kikuchi  Abstract

Using SD-Model to Optimize Profitability in a Rental Business (Mateco), by Wim Debreuck  Abstract

Parallel (195): Human Resources Policy and Politics. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute. (Fisketorget)

Understanding & Modelling Corruption: Exploiting System Dynamics, by Muhammad Aman Ullah, Tiru Arthanari, Anson Li  Abstract

Is “Paired Assistance Policy” reconstruction mode of collaborative governance better than traditional mode?, by Linlin Wang, Enzo Bivona, Haiyan Yan, Jiayin Qi  Abstract

Political patronage in a small Italian local government: an outcome-based DPM approach on fiduciary practices, by Salvatore Gnoffo, Angelo Guerrera  Abstract

Parallel (176): Energy Transitions, chaired by Jeroen Struben (Løvstakken)

Lessons from 10 Years Policy Design in the Energy Efficiency Sector, by Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bazbauers, Armands Gravelsins  Abstract

Assessing the Boom and Bust of the German Photovoltaic Market – An Analysis of the German Photovoltaic Market, by Isabel Feucht, Florian Kapmeier  Abstract

The systemic impact of a transition fuel: Does natural gas help or hinder the energy transition?, by Cem Gürsan, Vincent de Gooyert  Abstract

Parallel (151): Safety and Security, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano (Sognefjord)

Intended and Unintended Consequences of Social Media in Humanitarian Operations, by Mohammad Moshtari, Paulo Goncalves, Amin Maghsoudi  Abstract

Occupational Safety Dynamics in Onshore LNG Receiving Terminals, by Ezgi Akar, Ali Kerem Saysel  Abstract

Developing systemic Public Policy Theory for Multi-problem Households, by Guido Veldhuis, Sebastiaan Deuten  Abstract

Parallel (163): Stakeholder engagement I, chaired by Nici Zimmermann (Hardangerfjord)

System dynamics gamification: Lessons learned from the PERCEIVE Simulation Lab development, by Giovanni Cunico, Edoardo Mollona, Eirini Aivazidou  Abstract

The dynamics of transdisciplinarity: How does a group modelling workshop generate joint understanding and cognition, by Nici Zimmermann, Katherine Curran  Abstract

Supporting interdisciplinary research projects via system dynamics boundary objects: An application to urban water management, by Nici Zimmermann, Irene Pluchinotta  Abstract

12:00 Mon Roundtables 1 A

Other (222)SD and Sustainability: A Research Agenda for the Coming Decade(s). Environment Thread sponsored by UB Geography Dept. A, chaired by Nici Zimmermann (Damsgårdsfjellet)

System Dynamics & Sustainability: A Research Agenda for the Coming Decade(s), by Vincent de Gooyert, Paulo Goncalves, Christian Erik Kampmann, Florian Kapmeier, Birgit Kopainsky, Juliette Rooney-Varga, Etiënne Rouwette, Jeroen Struben, Nuno Videira, Nici Zimmermann  Abstract

Other (133)Roundtable: Scriptapedia editorial decision making A, chaired by Ellis Ballard (Fisketorget)

13:00 Mon Plenary (135): Societal Containment of COVID-19, chaired by Peter Hovmand (Plenary)

Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 and the Effects of Intervention Timing on COVID-19 Incidence, by Jeffrey Shaman  Abstract

Simulation-based Estimation of the Early Spread of COVID-19 in Iran: Actual versus Confirmed Cases, by Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Hazhir Rahmandad  Abstract

Hybrid Modeling with System Dynamics to Contain COVID-19, by Nathaniel Osgood  Abstract

14:30 Mon Open Sponsor Activities

Other (178): copernicos, change agents in asset management: Zoom Office Hours Synchronous (ALSO VISIT IN 3D), chaired by Arjen Ros, Michel Kuijer (Copernicos)

Other (271): Strategy Dynamics Ltd.: Zoom Sponsor Activity Synchronous (ALSO VISIT IN 3D), chaired by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer (StrategyDynamics)

15:30 Mon Other (236): 3D Sponsor Experience A (Fløyen 3D Experience)

16:30 Mon Plenary (248): Climate Futures and the Limits to Growth, chaired by David Lane (Plenary)

2020 Vision: Reflections on 'World Dynamics’ and ‘The Limits To Growth’, by David Lane  Abstract

From Limits to the Sustainable Development Goals: integrated modeling in the era of the SDGs, by Matteo Pedercini  Abstract

Corporate Sustainability Applications of the En-ROADS Model, by Andrew Greenspan  Abstract

18:00 Mon Sponsor Activities

Other (245): isee systems: Zoom Sponsor Discussion Synchronous (ALSO VISIT IN 3D), chaired by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly (isee)

Other (207): copernicos, change agents in asset management: Zoom Sponsor Activity Synchronous: (ALSO VISIT IN 3D), chaired by Arjen Ros, Michel Kuijer (Copernicos)

18:30 Mon Plenary (106): Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for System Dynamics, chaired by Asmeret Naugle (Plenary)

Artificial Intelligence and Simulation, by Mark Paich, Lyle Wallis  Abstract

Inferring Causality in Feedback Systems by Combining Neural Nets and Ordinary Differential Equations, by William Schoenberg  Abstract

Machine in the Loop: Personalizing Farm Advisory for Smallholder Farmers Using AI, by Nikhil Mallareddy, Chintan Vaishnav, Soumya Braganza  Abstract

20:00 (echo) Plenary (251)Echo: Conference Opening (Plenary)

21:00 Mon Parallel 1 Echo

Parallel (138)Echo: Using AI and Machine Learning for Building Models, chaired by Travis Franck (Rundemanen)

Is Observed Data Adequate to Automate the Construction of Causal Models?, by Wang Zhao, Susan Howick, John Quigley  Abstract

Automated Discovery of Polarity from Data in System Dynamics Context, by Nefel Tellioglu, Yaman Barlas  Abstract

Automated Diagram Generation to Build Understanding and Usability, by William Schoenberg  Abstract

Parallel (184)Echo: Resources and Trade (Nordnes)

Blessing or Burden? Another Look at the Natural Resource Curse, by Saeed Langarudi, Michael Radzicki  Abstract

Modeling infrastructure dynamics of Iran ICT industry using system dynamics approach, by Maryam Mansuri, Morteza Mahmoudzadeh  Abstract

Reinforcing feedback loop between climate impact and agriculture emissions – A global perspective, by Roberto Pasqualino, Aled Jones  Abstract

Parallel (142)Echo: Climate Change Impacts to Agriculture. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept. (Damsgårdsfjellet)

A Group Model Building approach for climate change adaptation of agricultural systems in Northeast Lower Saxony, by Rodrigo Valencia, Sabine Egerer, Maria Manez  Abstract

A leverage points analysis of a qualitative system dynamics model for climate change adaptation in agriculture, by Sabine Egerer, Rodrigo Valencia, Maria Manez  Abstract

Adaptive investment pathway for farmer security: group modeling of sand river based social-ecological systems of Eastern Africa, by Pooja Prasad, Poolad Karimi, Jeremiah Kiptala, Moses Mwangi, Eyasu Yazew, Pieter van der Zaag  Abstract

Parallel (147)Echo: Education and Community Dynamics. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept. (Sognefjord)

Empowering Communities: Power devolution in Community-Based Natural Resource Management, by Christina Gkini, Ashish Shrestha, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Using palaeoecology and system dynamics to inform conservation of a biodiversity-rich, but endangered, ecosystem, by Cherie Dirk, Birgit Kopainsky, Jai Clifford-Holmes, Lindsey Gillson  Abstract

Getting to Impact at Scale: Diffusion of Educational Innovations Through Community-Based Propagation, by Juliette Rooney-Varga, Florian Kapmeier, Andrew Jones  Abstract

Parallel (213)Echo: Health Service Delivery. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. (Bryggen)

The role of tobacco and alcohol use in the interaction of social determinants of non-communicable diseases in Nepal, by Sudesh Sharma, David Lounsbury, Anna Matheson, Danielle Lambrick, James Faulkner, Abhinav Vaidya, Rachel Page  Abstract

Using population segmentation approach to project future health and social care needs (HASS) among the Elderly in Singapore, by John Ansah, David Matchar  Abstract

System Dynamics Modeling of Health Workforce Planning to Address Future Challenges of Thailand’s Universal Health Coverage, by Borwornsom Leerapan, Pard Teekasap, Nipaporn Urwannachotima, Wararat Jaichuen, Kwanpracha Chiangchaisakultha, Khunjira Udomaksorn, Aronrag Cooper Meeyai  Abstract

Parallel (214)Echo: Medical Therapeutics. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. (Ulriken)

Modeling the Dynamics of Vicious Cycles Involved in Heart-Respiratory Failure, by Sema Çömez  Abstract

Modeling The Pharmacodynamcs of rHuEPO, a Blood Doping Drug, by Feyyaz Senturk, Yaman Barlas, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model of Data-Driven Precision Medicine Ecosystem, by Tomi Sorasalmi, Jaakko Lähteenmäki, Peter Ylen  Abstract

Parallel (125)Echo: Using SD Models to Teach Content, chaired by Rod MacDonald (Sandviksfjellet)

Teaching Homeostasis to Secondary School Anatomy and Physiology Students, by Diana Fisher, Edward Gallaher  Abstract

Using Systems Thinking, System Dynamics and Simulation for Sustainability Education: A Study Design, by Caroline Brennan, Owen Molloy, Jim Duggan  Abstract

The Perceptions Of Teachers On Using The Systems Thinking Approach In In-class Applications, by Goksen Akyol Kizilkaya, Eray Egmir, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

WIP (204)Echo: Public Institutions and Innovations. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by Raafat Zaini (Hardangerfjord)

Exploitees vs. Exploiters: Myth or Reality - Dynamics of exploitation in academia (Part 1), by Davood Qorbani  Abstract

Organization Ambidexterity for Public Industrial Research Institutes, by Jian Hung Chen, Chang-Lung Yen  Abstract

Mapping Interactions Between Food Security and Poverty, by Raquel Froese Buzogany, Birgit Kopainsky, Paulo Goncalves  Abstract

Towards efficient policies for sustainable Public-Private Partnerships: Case Study of a Solid Waste Management System in Greece, by Eirini Pagoni, Patroklos Georgiadis  Abstract

A System Dynamics Modeling and Policy Analysis for the Development of Science Parks in Shanghai, by Haiyan Yan, Lingyun Zhan, Haonan Qu, Bo Xu, ANQI ZHANG  Abstract

Dynamic modelling of government debt in Ukraine, by Sanjeet Jaiswar  Abstract

WIP (181)Echo: Electric power industry (Løvstakken)

Towards improving sustainable access to electricity in rural areas of Tanzania: learning from the past preparing for the future, by Francesco Tonini, Adedoyin Adebodun Adeleke, Francesco Davide Sanvito, Emanuela Colombo, Marta Grimoldi, Fabrizio Colombelli  Abstract

Modeling Household Energy Consumption Behavior in areas with unreliable electricity supply, by Arpit Agarwal, Jayendran Venkateswaran  Abstract

Remote norther electricity markets - Electricity in the dynamics of a mixed economy, by Magnus de Witt  Abstract

Decarbonizing electricity generation: Final Targets vs. Imposing a Path, by Busra Gencer, Ann van Ackere  Abstract

System Dynamics modeling for grid-interconnected business model for rural electrification in India, by Payal Dey  Abstract

22:00 Mon Parallel 2 Echo

Parallel (168)Echo: Business and Social Good, chaired by Suzanne Parsel-Dew (Rundemanen)

Impact of the relational motive to co-create value on service quality, by Jorge Sousa  Abstract

Development of the United States Senior Housing Industry, by Will Noyes  Abstract

Business dynamics of flexibility aggregators: Managing prosumer participation and steering clear of being “too small to bid", by Merla Kubli  Abstract

WIP (186)Echo: Economics, chaired by David Wheat (Nordnes)

Debt resilience dynamics: exploring vulnerability of macrosystem, by Hennadii Hryhoriev  Abstract

Conduct of the Monetary Policy during the Macroeconomic Instability, by Iryna Lukianenko, Mariia Nasachenko  Abstract

System Dynamic Representations of Theoretical Macroeconomic Models, by Marianna Oliskevych, Valerii Kozytskyi  Abstract

A dynamic analysis of the key destabilizing factors on the Ukrainian Labor Market. Wage management, by Tetiana Donkohlova  Abstract

Community-based Understanding of Solar Entrepreneurship Development Dynamics in Rural India, by Rajat Mishra, Sayli Shiradkar, Jayendran Venkateswaran, Kelsey Werner  Abstract

Small Business Taxation in Ukraine as a Factor of Labor Market Regulation, by Alina Novik, Iryna Lukianenko, Olena Primierova  Abstract

Parallel (224)Echo: Ecological applications. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Cornelia van Daalen (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Building Insights in a Complex Social-Ecological System: A Case from the Banni Grasslands in India, by Kabir Sharma, Mihir Mathur, Ankila Hiremath, Abi Vanak, Nirav Mehta, Madhura Niphadkar, Ramya Ravi, Ovee Thorat  Abstract

The Algoa Bay Marine Planning Tool: An Exploratory System Dynamics Model to Support Marine Planning and Management, by Estee Vermeulen, Jai Clifford-Holmes, Teun Sluijs, Ursula Scharler, Amanda Lombard  Abstract

The Impacts of Climate Change on the Dynamics of Housing Market, by Mohamadali Morshedi Shahrebabaki, Saeideh Fallah-Fini, Nader Naderpajouh  Abstract

WIP (209)Echo: Health Service Delivery. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Wayne Wakeland (Bryggen)

The Immunization System at Community Level: the Case of Rwanda, by Nico Vandaele, Catherine Decouttere  Abstract

No time for that: Engaging busy stakeholders through Web-based SD model-building, -exercising, and -extending, by Stephan Brown  Abstract

Dynamics of the Work Performance of Accredited Social Health Activists (ASHA) in Bihar, India, by Carmen Y.J. Lee  Abstract

Understanding Public Trust in Healthcare Services and Doctor-Patient Relationship in the Contexts of Medical Errors, by Phanuwich Kaewkamjonchai, Peeraya Piancharoen, Kornkanok Saringkarisate, Sorrawit Rojcheewin, Pongpat Wananukul, Adithep Suttawas, Piyawan Limpanyalert, Borwornsom Leerapan  Abstract

Effective Strategies for Children's Environmental Health in the Solomon Islands, by Claire Brereton, Matteo Pedercini  Abstract

WIP (131)Echo: ST/SD Activities in Primary Schools, and Good Mentoring, chaired by Stefano Armenia (Sandviksfjellet)

How Sweet is Sugar?, by Ulkem Yararbas, Emre Goktepe  Abstract

Kindergarten Applications of Systems Thinking in Turkey from 2014 to 2020, by Gulnaz Caglayan, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

Lou - Peer Victimization in Schools, by Gulnaz Caglayan, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

World Climate Game for Primary School, by Ulkem Yararbas, Emre Goktepe  Abstract

Primary School Applications of Systems Thinking in Turkey from 2014 to 2020, by Goksen Akyol Kizilkaya, Ulkem Yararbas  Abstract

Journeyman Years for young modelers – a generation contract approach to secure good mentoring, by Max Kleemann  Abstract

Parallel (155)Echo: Frontiers in Logistics Management (Ulriken)

Testing the impact of risk attitude on the Bullwhip effect, by Davood Qorbani, Imke Gommans, Hubert Korzilius  Abstract

Study on Cooperative Deliver Focusing on Delivery Times of Truck Drivers in Multi-story Buildings, by Tomohiro Mori, Satoru Kobayakawa, Hiroki Kikuchi  Abstract

Using SD-Model to Optimize Profitability in a Rental Business (Mateco), by Wim Debreuck  Abstract

Parallel (195)Echo: Human Resources Policy and Politics. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute. (Fisketorget)

Understanding & Modelling Corruption: Exploiting System Dynamics, by Muhammad Aman Ullah, Tiru Arthanari, Anson Li  Abstract

Is “Paired Assistance Policy” reconstruction mode of collaborative governance better than traditional mode?, by Linlin Wang, Enzo Bivona, Haiyan Yan, Jiayin Qi  Abstract

Political patronage in a small Italian local government: an outcome-based DPM approach on fiduciary practices, by Salvatore Gnoffo, Angelo Guerrera  Abstract

Parallel (176)Echo: Energy Transitions, chaired by (Løvstakken)

Lessons from 10 Years Policy Design in the Energy Efficiency Sector, by Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bazbauers, Armands Gravelsins  Abstract

Assessing the Boom and Bust of the German Photovoltaic Market – An Analysis of the German Photovoltaic Market, by Isabel Feucht, Florian Kapmeier  Abstract

The systemic impact of a transition fuel: Does natural gas help or hinder the energy transition?, by Cem Gürsan, Vincent de Gooyert  Abstract

Parallel (151)Echo: Safety and Security, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano (Sognefjord)

Intended and Unintended Consequences of Social Media in Humanitarian Operations, by Mohammad Moshtari, Paulo Goncalves, Amin Maghsoudi  Abstract

Occupational Safety Dynamics in Onshore LNG Receiving Terminals, by Ezgi Akar, Ali Kerem Saysel  Abstract

Developing systemic Public Policy Theory for Multi-problem Households, by Guido Veldhuis, Sebastiaan Deuten  Abstract

Parallel (163)Echo: Stakeholder engagement I, chaired by (Hardangerfjord)

System dynamics gamification: Lessons learned from the PERCEIVE Simulation Lab development, by Giovanni Cunico, Edoardo Mollona, Eirini Aivazidou  Abstract

The dynamics of transdisciplinarity: How does a group modelling workshop generate joint understanding and cognition, by Nici Zimmermann, Katherine Curran  Abstract

Supporting interdisciplinary research projects via system dynamics boundary objects: An application to urban water management, by Nici Zimmermann, Irene Pluchinotta  Abstract

23:00 Mon Roundtables 1 B

Other (222)SD and Sustainability: A Research Agenda for the Coming Decade(s). Environment Thread sponsored by UB Geography Dept. B, chaired by Allyson Beall King (Damsgårdsfjellet)

System Dynamics & Sustainability: A Research Agenda for the Coming Decade(s), by Vincent de Gooyert, Paulo Goncalves, Christian Erik Kampmann, Florian Kapmeier, Birgit Kopainsky, Juliette Rooney-Varga, Etiënne Rouwette, Jeroen Struben, Nuno Videira, Nici Zimmermann  Abstract

Other (133)Roundtable: Scriptapedia editorial decision making B, chaired by Kelsey Werner (Fisketorget)

Tuesday July 21

06:30 (echo) Plenary (135)Echo: Societal Containment of COVID-19, chaired by Peter Hovmand (Plenary)

Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 and the Effects of Intervention Timing on COVID-19 Incidence, by Jeffrey Shaman  Abstract

Simulation-based Estimation of the Early Spread of COVID-19 in Iran: Actual versus Confirmed Cases, by Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Hazhir Rahmandad  Abstract

Hybrid Modeling with System Dynamics to Contain COVID-19, by Nathaniel Osgood  Abstract

07:00 (echo) Plenary (248)Echo: Climate Futures and the Limits to Growth, chaired by David Lane (Plenary)

2020 Vision: Reflections on 'World Dynamics’ and ‘The Limits To Growth’, by David Lane  Abstract

From Limits to the Sustainable Development Goals: integrated modeling in the era of the SDGs, by Matteo Pedercini  Abstract

Corporate Sustainability Applications of the En-ROADS Model, by Andrew Greenspan  Abstract

07:30 (echo) Plenary (106)Echo: Harnessing Artificial Intelligence for System Dynamics, chaired by (Plenary)

Artificial Intelligence and Simulation, by Mark Paich, Lyle Wallis  Abstract

Inferring Causality in Feedback Systems by Combining Neural Nets and Ordinary Differential Equations, by William Schoenberg  Abstract

Machine in the Loop: Personalizing Farm Advisory for Smallholder Farmers Using AI, by Nikhil Mallareddy, Chintan Vaishnav, Soumya Braganza  Abstract

08:00 Tue Plenary (231): Scientific Advances, chaired by Birgit Kopainsky (Plenary)

From Generic to Optimally Calibrated System Dynamics Models: An Application in Agricultural Value Chains, by Büsra Atamer Balkan, Yaman Barlas, Sedef Meral  Abstract

Chemotherapy-Induced Neutropenia under Exogenous Granulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor, by Şanser Güz, Orkun Irsoy, Naz Beril Akan, Gönenç Yucel  Abstract

Why so few? The gender representation gap in academic STEM fields, by Carla Rua-Gomez, Jessica Arias-Gaviria  Abstract

10:00 Tue Plenary (238): Electricity and Sustainability, chaired by Erling Moxnes (Plenary)

The Power of Self-reinforcing Feedback: With a little help from your EV friends in Norway, by Bent Erik Bakken  Abstract

The impact of sustainable buildings in electricity demand in Colombia, by Jessica Arias-Gaviria, Veronica Valencia-Hernandez, Yris Olaya, Santiago Arango  Abstract

Choices of households in a prosumer-driven era and their impact on the electricity demand from the grid, by Davood Qorbani, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

12:00 Tue Poster 1 A

Poster (170)Improving Business Performance and Qualitative Insights A (Bryggen)

Analysis of low-cost carrier operations in long-haul air transport markets, by Marcia Urban, Mirko Hornung  Abstract

Market Sizing of High-Rise Elevators, by Michael Woywadt, Holger Krischen, Bo Hu  Abstract

Qualitative System Dynamics Practice: using “resource maps” as visuals for accounting education, by Federico Barnabè, Maria Cleofe Giorgino, Martin Kunc  Abstract

Using participative model building for considering behavior patterns of SMEs in Yazd Science and Technology Park, by Ali Haji Gholam Saryazdi, Dariush Poursarrajian  Abstract

Starting a System Dynamics Consulting Firm: Learnings from 1000 days of consulting, by Mihir Mathur  Abstract

Poster (217)Health Service Delivery Posters. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. A (Bryggen)

Emergency Medical Services in Maine: Rural Vs Urban Systems, by John Voyer  Abstract

Difficulty accessing health care services in Colombia., by Sarah Sarmiento  Abstract

Systemic Conceptual Modeling of Patient Flow in a Hospital Emergency Department: A case example, by Gaute Terning, Eric Brun  Abstract

How might rural hospitals adapt to prevent closure? Prioritizing innovation to mitigate a financial death spiral, by Namrata Ramakrishna, Steve Peterson  Abstract

Rising Health Care Costs in Switzerland: Reasons and Interventions, by Jonas Josi, Charly Gerber, Yan Scholl, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

Poster (158)Operations Management: in Economics, Strategy, Business, and Human Behavior A (Bryggen)

Modeling and Simulating the Effect of Well Quality on Oil Production and Profitability using System Dynamics Model, by Olusegun Stanley Tomomewo, Moones Alamooti, Scott Johnson  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model for Supply Chain Risk Assessment in Power Plants, by Sahar M. ALMashaqbeh, Jose Eduardo Munive-Hernandez, M. Khurshid Khan  Abstract

The Dynamics of Brand Strategy for Food Safety and Quality in Food Supply Chain, by Jing Mu  Abstract

Social Preferences in Dynamically Complex Supply Chains: Reciprocity in the Beer Distribution Game, by Joshua Cedric Dietz, Ivan Ðula, Andreas Groessler  Abstract

Poster (166)Stakeholder engagement poster A (Bryggen)

Exploring applications of GMB to support decarbonising the transport sector, by Peraphan Jittrapirom  Abstract

Validation as learning - Iterating qualitative structure and quantitative behaviour in GMB workshops, by Daniel Kliem, Katrin Huegel, Alexander Scheidegger, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Enhancing Inclusion of Children with Special Needs in Kakuma Refugee Camp, by Kelsey Werner, Thomas Crea, Gregory St. Arnold  Abstract

Reflecting on Factors Influencing Long-Lasting Organisational Effects of Group Model Building Interventions, by Hugo Herrera, Marleen McCardle-Keurentjes, Nuno Videira  Abstract

Push the iceberg – a systems and futures-oriented facilitation script for participatory strategic foresight, by Rocco Scolozzi  Abstract

12:45 Tue Poster 2 A

Poster (185)Economics A (Bryggen)

Modeling Cross-Border Payments and Foreign Exchange Dynamics – Correspondent Accounts Framework, by Yokei Yamaguchi, Kaoru Yamaguchi  Abstract

Mapping connectivity and risks within marine sectors to explore a transition to a sustainable (‘blue’) marine economy, by Justin Connolly  Abstract

Dam of Population and Internal Migration, by Takayuki Yamashita  Abstract

Socially Efficient Stabilization of Industrial Cycles via Organic Profit-sharing and its Crucial Tension, by Alexander Ryzhenkov  Abstract

Ecological Economic System Modelling With a Focus on Endogenous Innovation and Resilience: Preliminary Results, by Yoko Nagase, TAKURO UEHARA, Wayne Wakeland  Abstract

Poster (221)Understanding our Surroundings. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept. A (Bryggen)

Effect of Income Dynamics on Beef Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emission in China, by Dung Nguyen Thuy Tran  Abstract

Road transport decarbonization – policies to promote electric vehicles, by Armands Gravelsins, Aiga Barisa, Dagnija Blumberga, Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bazbauers  Abstract

Complex system behaviour of natural hazards in mountainous regions, by Peter Mani, Markus Stoffel  Abstract

How Exogenous Stressors Lead to Coral-Algal Phase Shifts, by Jenna Salvay  Abstract

Using System Dynamics modelling to frame environmental voluntary commitment programs: the French experience, by Enzo Bivona, Gisele Mendy Bilek  Abstract

Poster (136)Posters with Educational Emphasis A (Bryggen)

Design, Implementation and Evaluation of a Systems Thinking Course for Teachers in an M.A. Program in Learning Sciences, by Hasret Nuhoglu, Ulkem Yararbas, Emre Goktepe  Abstract

When Isaac met Jay: The Asimov - Forrester encounter, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract

Poster (198)Public Policy: Safety, Workforce, Tourism and Digital Content. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute A (Bryggen)

Balancing the police workforce, it's not all about the money, by Mieke Struik  Abstract

What makes the EU feed safety policy the safest in world? A policy feedback approach, by Bianca Cavicchi  Abstract

Using Qualitative System Dynamics in Analyzing the Effect of Tourism Industry on Economic Development and Employment in Iran, by Ali Haji Gholam Saryazdi, Dariush Poursarrajian, Amirabbas Vatanara, Mohammad Ghavidel  Abstract

Exploring the Impact of Digital Content Policies to Public Museums - the Case of National Palace Museum in Taiwan, by Jian-Jing Li, Jian Hung Chen  Abstract

Shifting the Path-Dependency of Bottled Water Towards Urban Drinking Water Security, by Sofia Valeria Cortes Calderon, David Collste, María Mancilla-García  Abstract

Poster (152)Security, Cybersecurity, & Defense A (Bryggen)

Insider Threat Dynamics; the dangerous triangle of pressure, rationalization and opportunity, by Sander Zeijlemaker  Abstract

Cybersecurity Dynamics in Software Development Environment: What system traps do exist?, by Sander Zeijlemaker, Michael von Kutzschenbach  Abstract

13:30 Tue Other (240): 3D Sponsor Experience B (Fløyen 3D Experience)

15:30 Tue Sponsor Office Hours

Other (149): DESTA Research LLP: Zoom Office Hours Synchronous (ALSO VISIT IN 3D), chaired by Mihir Mathur, Kabir Sharma (DESTA)

Other (192): copernicos, change agents in asset management: Zoom Office Hours Synchronous (ALSO VISIT IN 3D), chaired by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros (Copernicos)

Other (169): Users' Group Meeting: Strategy Dynamics Ltd, chaired by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer (StrategyDynamics)

Users' Group Meeting: Strategy Dynamics Ltd, by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer  Abstract

17:00 Tue Parallel 3

Parallel (220): Environmental Applications of SD. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Allyson Beall King (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Can System Dynamics support planning for sustainability across processes and domains?, by Andrea Bassi, Georg Pallaske  Abstract

Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi), Delivering insight for sustainable infrastructure, by Andrea Bassi, Georg Pallaske  Abstract

Assessing Self-Sustainability of Rural Water Supply Systems: Free Household Connections vs Free Solar Pumps, by Abhishek Kumar Sinha, Om Damani, Shreya Agarwal, Sandeep Chougule, Pradip Kalbar  Abstract

WIP (141): Sustainable Food and Water Systems. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Ali Kerem Saysel (Rundemanen)

Groundwater Appropriation Game: A Dynamic Simulation Approach, by Elif Bal, Ali Kerem Saysel  Abstract

Towards 2050 – The Role of Aquaculture in an Ocean Space Forecasting Model, by Erica McConnell, Thomas Horschig, Bent Erik Bakken  Abstract

Horticultural production in the Niayes area, Senegal: A System dynamics analysis of the agriculture-water-labor nexus, by Sandra Volken, Patrick Bottazzi  Abstract

Investigating the dynamics of important wintering sites of waterbirds in the Czech Republic, by Igor Krejci, Jan Rydval, Zuzana Musilova, Petr Musil  Abstract

A Participatory System Dynamics model to investigate sustainable urban water management in the Ebbsfleet garden city, by Irene Pluchinotta, Alessandro Pagano, Tudorel Vilcan, Sangaralingam Ahilan, Leon Kapetas, Emily O’Donnell  Abstract

Modelling the Climate System using System Dynamics, by Cecilie Mauritzen, Ulrich Goluke, Eduard Romanenko  Abstract

Parallel (216): Population Health. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Gary Hirsch (Bryggen)

A Systems Approach for a Systemic Problem: Modeling Intimate Partner Violence in South Africa, by Sara Peterson  Abstract

Assessing the Linkages Between Agriculture and Food Security with Household- and Regional-Level Models, by Charles Nicholson, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Surfacing System Perspectives to Guide Action and Improve Collaboration in Comprehensive Community-based Suicide Prevention, by Ann Marie White, Jill Kuhlberg, Becky Naumann, Kristen Hassmiller Lich  Abstract

WIP (162): Population Health. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Anaely Aguiar Rodriguez (Sognefjord)

A Systematic Review on Evolving Clinical Practice Guidelines for Population Screening, by Özge Karanfil, Hazal Can, Fatma Aydin, Elif Gokcen Bozkurt, Erkam Keskin, Egemen Sever, Ecesu Cetin, Ertac Nebioglu, Vasiliki Mole, Sibel Sakarya  Abstract

Exploring Complex Systems Dynamics Between Firm Strategies and Obesity Policies, by Ozgur Araz  Abstract

Modeling Hepatitis C for Targeted Screening and Cost-Effectiveness in the US, by Moosa Tatar, Susana Keeshin, Mark Mailliard, Fernando A Wilson  Abstract

Shining a Light on Norwegian Opioid Overdoses, by Nathan Waldner Cole, Richard Ruston  Abstract

Application of Group Model Building in Implementation Science: A Systematic Review of the Public Health & Healthcare Literature, by Nasim Sabounchi, David Lounsbury, Terry Huang, Priscila Zito, Pulwasha Iftikhar  Abstract

Using System Dynamics and Group Model Building to conceptualise Quality of Hospital Services, by Angeliki Lenakaki  Abstract

WIP (233): Methodology, chaired by John Morecroft (Hardangerfjord)

A Python-Based Method to Build and Simulate System Dynamics Models, by Wang Zhao, David Lara Arango  Abstract

Complex Approach for Modelling Complicated Systems, by Ivan Perl, Olga Perl  Abstract

Hardware Accelerator for System Dynamic Modeling, by Aleksandr Penskoi  Abstract

Model Structure and Scenario Analysis Archetypes Translation – An Approach to Mixing Methods, by Joshua Loughman  Abstract

Parallel (156): Supply Chain Management and the Bullwhip Effect, chaired by Andreas Groessler (Ulriken)

Algorithmic Intervention to Mitigate Inventory and Ordering Amplification in Multi-Echelon Supply Chains, by James Paine  Abstract

System Behavior for Automated Parcel Locker as an Urban Logistics Delivery Scheme , by Markus Rabe, Jorge Chicaiza-Vaca, Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu  Abstract

Eyes On the Game: Eye-tracking Analysis of the Beer Game, by Juan Pablo Torres, Andres Musalem, Alejandro HIrmas  Abstract

WIP (205): Human Resources. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by Katherine Marçal (Nordnes)

Policy Engagement for Public Health Professionals: Tools for Finding Your Place, by Jane Branscomb, Angela Snyder, Karen Minyard, James Dills  Abstract

Multi-tiered Approach to Refugee Support- Indonesia, by Braveheart Gillani  Abstract

An Exploratory System Dynamics Model of the Refugee Crisis in Northern Africa, by Ivan Taylor  Abstract

Gender inequality low-order model in the workplace due to the fertility rate in developed countries, by Walter Aliaga, Joel Bacal  Abstract

Manpower Utilisation and Innovation Capability in the Food and Beverage Industry in Southwestern Nigeria, by Victor Sobanke  Abstract

Eliminating DUI in Virginia: A Systems Approach, by Macon Thompson, Rod MacDonald  Abstract

Parallel (193): Building Equity Through Infrastructure. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by Alireza Ebrahimvandi (Fisketorget)

The Effect of Food, Housing and Skills Interventions on Individual Life Trajectories, by Sarah Davie, Robert Eberlein  Abstract

Social Capital of Diversity Groups as Driver of Social Equality in the European Union, by Julio Barajas Castillo, Inge Bleijenbergh  Abstract

Searching for System Leverage: Group Model Building for a Shared Understanding of Adequate Housing in Kenya, by Gian Wieck, Kaveh Dianati, Alec Eckert, Steven Arquitt  Abstract

Parallel (177): Electric power markets (Løvstakken)

The rooftop-solar spiral of growth: a cross-country extent, speed and implication analysis, by Maritza Jimenez, Monica Castaneda, Sebastian Zapata Ramirez, Carlos Franco, Isaac Dyner  Abstract

Would renewable damp oscillations in power markets? An experimental analysis, by Jessica Arias-Gaviria, Alberto Lamadrid J., Santiago Arango  Abstract

Interaction of Dynamics between Two Temporal Granularity Levels: Renewables Uptake and the Power Market, by Onur Özgün  Abstract

Parallel (164): Stakeholder engagement II, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette (Lyderhorn)

Using Decision-making Scripts in Group Model Building Workshops, by Ke Zhou, Nici Zimmermann  Abstract

Advancing the Methods for Informing Group Model Building Subscript Design Decisions and Script Adaptations, by William Liem, Ellis Ballard  Abstract

It takes a village (to build a system dynamics model) - A reflection on 5 years of participatory model building, by Danielle Currie, Cindy Peng, Jacqueline Davison, Jo-An Atkinson  Abstract

Parallel (235): Methods in Strategy Research, chaired by Jeroen Struben (Sandviksfjellet)

Strategy Convergence and Erosion of Profits, by Constantinos Markides, Erik Larsen, Shayne Gary  Abstract

Multi-Tiered Workforce and Work Complexity Modeling, by JD Caddell, Patrick Driscoll, Travis Connell, James Enos  Abstract

System Dynamics Modelling with Kotlin: From Hierarchical Models to Interactive Simulators, by Siniša Sovilj, Darko Etinger, Zlatko Sirotić, Krešimir Pripužić  Abstract

18:00 Tue Sponsor Activities

Other (206): copernicos, change agents in asset management: Zoom Sponsor Activity Synchronous: (ALSO VISIT IN 3D), chaired by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros (Copernicos)

Meeting (132): Users' Group Meeting: Powersim, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Jacob Jacobson

Users' Group Meeting: Powersim, by Leonard Malczynski, Jacob Jacobson  Abstract

Meeting (173): Users' Group Meeting: Ventana Systems, Inc., chaired by Thomas Fiddaman

Users' Group Meeting: Ventana Systems, Inc., by Thomas Fiddaman  Abstract

Meeting (139): Users' Group Meeting: isee systems

Users' Group Meeting: isee systems, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg, Sarah Davie  Abstract

Meeting (150): Users' Group Meeting: Forio Online Simulations, chaired by Michael Bean

Users' Group Meeting: Forio Online Simulations, by Michael Bean  Abstract

18:30 Tue Parallel 4

Parallel (143): Electric Vehicles. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Kim Warren (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Accelerating Vehicle Fleet Turnover to Achieve Climate Policy Goals, by Sergey Naumov, David Keith, John Sterman  Abstract

The Electric Vehicle diffusion in Sweden: will the country achieve its zero-emission fleet by 2030?, by Carolina Resende Haddad, Mauricio Uriona Maldonado, Tainara Volan, Caroline Rodrigues Vaz  Abstract

Employment in Automotive Parts with Electric Vehicle Market Penetration in South Africa, by Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Sumaya Nassiep, Josephine Musango  Abstract

Parallel (211): Behavioral Health. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Saras Chung (Bryggen)

Modeling of adolescents’ and young adults’ drinking and driving behaviors in the United States, by Niyousha Hosseinichimeh, Rod MacDonald, David Andersen  Abstract

Modeling the Opioid Crisis to Support National Policy Development, by Tse Yang Lim, Erin Stringfellow, Celia Stafford, Catherine DiGennaro, Elizabeth Beaulieu, Emily Ewing, Lukas Glos, Reza Kazemi-Tabriz, Mohammad Jalali  Abstract

Trends in Electronic Cigarette Use and Conventional Smoking: Quantifying a Possible 'Diversion' Effect among U.S. Adolescents, by Arielle Selya, Floe Foxon  Abstract

Feedback (167): Economic and Social Behavior (Lyderhorn)

Volunteer Technicians at Den Akedemiske Kvartertet, by Richard Ruston  Abstract

An Extended Behavioral Model for Quitting Smoke Using System Dynamics, by Volkan Cakir, Ugur Hosyilmaz  Abstract

Exploring the Behavior of Teachers and Students on the School Performance, Seen Through the Eyes of System Dynamics., by Kasturi Muthu Elandy  Abstract

Investigation into the Anomalous behavior of Adoption Rate in the simple SI Innovation Model, by Pradeesh Kumar Kunnitharayil Viswanathan  Abstract

A Roadmap to Modeling Economic and Environmental Impacts of Clean Energy Policies, by Jamal Mamkhezri, Leonard Malczynski, Janie Chermak  Abstract

System Dynamic Approach to Modeling Consumer Credit Activity, by Andrii Kaminskyi, Oleksii Petrovskyi  Abstract

WIP (191): Human Behavior, chaired by Saeideh Fallah-Fini (Sognefjord)

Using System Dynamics to understand Workplace Conflict, by Angeliki Lenakaki, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Escape from the Death Spiral: The Survival of Peer Mentoring Groups, by Thomas Horschig, Tomas Hubik, Hector Menendez, Joona Tuovinen  Abstract

Conceptualizing Loneliness, by Bomin Kim  Abstract

Contagious Anxiety: Modeling Stress Symptoms as Disease, by Max Brautigam, Steve Peterson, Lindsey Reitinger  Abstract

Distrust Dynamics About Institutions in Colombia, by Jorge Andrick Parra Valencia  Abstract

Parallel (226): Structure-Behavior Analysis, chaired by (Hardangerfjord)

Finding the Loops that Matter, by Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg  Abstract

Seamlessly Integrating Loops That Matter into Model Development and Analysis, by William Schoenberg, Robert Eberlein  Abstract

Structural Analysis of System Dynamics Models, by Lukas Schoenenberger, Alexander Schmid, Radu Tanase, Mathias Beck, Andrea Schenker-Wicki, Markus Schwaninger  Abstract

Feedback (154): System Insights and Optimization (Nordnes)

A Study of Enhancing Competency and Advancement in a Complex Multi-Agent Marketplace, by Misagh Faezipour  Abstract

Optimum Virtual Machine Selection in Cloud Data Centre using MCDM: A Work-in-Progress Report, by Raman Singh, Maninder Singh, Sheetal Garg, Ivan Perl, Aleksandr Penskoi, Olga Perl  Abstract

Patterning Models, by Olga Perl, Ivan Perl  Abstract

Project Efficiency Estimation by Dynamic Simulation of Earned Value Management Model, by Mojtaba Bakhshandeh, Yahya Zare Mehrjerdi  Abstract

Integrating risk analysis with systems analysis - Practitioner developments in risk management for water security and planning, by Emelie Danielsson, Lucas Dawson, Frida Lager  Abstract

Systemic Modeling of a large Fertilizer manufacturing Platform: a Proof of Concept model and a step toward industrial symbiosis, by Fouad EZZEBDI, Saad Benjelloun  Abstract

WIP (203): Energy Policy and Transportation. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by Rachel Freeman (Fisketorget)

Attraction-Repulsion Function for Modeling Bicycle Use in Bogotá, by Luz-Angélica Rodriguez, Omar Andrés Parra Urrego  Abstract

Transitioning towards a 100% solar-hydro based generation, by Juan Esteban Martinez Jaramillo, Ann van Ackere, Erik Larsen  Abstract

Integral policy making for sustainable mobility, by Arjen Ros, Egbert Roos  Abstract

From Energy Resilience to Community Resilience: Exploring the Links between Infrastructure Services & Human Wellbeing, by Sara Peterson  Abstract

Modelling gendered innovation and energy services security in poor urban environments, by Benjamin Batinge  Abstract

Examining Impacts of a Congestion Pricing Policy on Road Safety Outcomes in New York City, by Becky Naumann, Jill Kuhlberg, Nasim Sabounchi, Kristen Hassmiller Lich  Abstract

WIP (182): Modelling resource dynamics (Løvstakken)

Envisioning the Sustainability Transition – understanding processes of change and introducing 'Sustainable Lifestyles Nexus', by Ana Carina da Silva pereira  Abstract

Functionality and financial implications of professional maintenance services for rural water service delivery in Kenya, by Pranav Chintalapati  Abstract

Localizing the circular economy - mining the urban ressources, by Daniel Kliem, Alexander Scheidegger, Katrin Huegel, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

System dynamics modeling of neutron flux and reactivity change in the 4th reactor of the Chernobyl Power Plant, by Zsolt Hetesi, Tibor Kiss, Zsolt Németh  Abstract

Groundwater dynamics; a common-pool resources problem, by Ali R. Akhavan, Paulo Goncalves  Abstract

Peace Engineering in the Arctic: Accommodating diverse interests in a changing environment., by Nancy Hayden, Jasper Hardesty, Howard Passell  Abstract

WIP (165): Stakeholder engagement, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette (Rundemanen)

Developing Inclusive Communities of Practice, by Peter Hovmand, Mia Vogel, Braveheart Gillani, Ellis Ballard  Abstract

Using Participatory Modeling to Help Wild Tigers: Informing Policies Regarding Tiger Farming and Trade, by Erica Rieder, Lincoln Larson  Abstract

Participatory system modeling for improving synergies between coastal and rural areas: the COASTAL project, by Jean-Marie Lescot, Büsra Atamer Balkan, Francoise Vernier  Abstract

Coastal community adaptation planning to sea level rise, by Raymond Smith  Abstract

Insights gained from a reanalysis of five model-facilitated change processes in healthcare based on action research approaches, by Paul Holmstrom, Thomas Björk- Eriksson, Caroline Olsson, Fredrik Bååthe, Pal Davidsen  Abstract

WIP (237): Strategy (Sandviksfjellet)

Switching to Other Currents: Empowering Medellin’s Sustainable Energy Cluster through System Dynamics Tools, by Laura Upegui, Carlos A. Upegui, Blanca H. Zapata  Abstract

In Pursuit of Evidence-Based Policy: The Adoption of Causal Modeling Approaches, by Amy Squires  Abstract

Incentives and Correlational Thinking: An Experiment with Piece-Rate Payments, by Max Gamerman, Cleotilde Gonzalez  Abstract

Phase Transitions in Crisis Management: Challenges and Opportunities for Strategic Decision-making, by Bjørn Tallak Bakken  Abstract

System Dynamics Applied on Marketing to Push Nokia Back to the Best-Selling Mobile Phone Brand in 2030, by Min Xiang, Kave Jangi, David Wheat  Abstract

The dynamics of rebound effects of sharing systems: an initial reflection, by Daniela Pigosso, Vinicius Picanco Rodrigues  Abstract

19:30 (echo) Plenary (135) Echo(2): Societal Containment of COVID-19, chaired by Peter Hovmand (Plenary)

Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 and the Effects of Intervention Timing on COVID-19 Incidence, by Jeffrey Shaman  Abstract

Simulation-based Estimation of the Early Spread of COVID-19 in Iran: Actual versus Confirmed Cases, by Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Hazhir Rahmandad  Abstract

Hybrid Modeling with System Dynamics to Contain COVID-19, by Nathaniel Osgood  Abstract

20:00 (echo) Plenary (231)Echo: Scientific Advances, chaired by Birgit Kopainsky (Plenary)

From Generic to Optimally Calibrated System Dynamics Models: An Application in Agricultural Value Chains, by Büsra Atamer Balkan, Yaman Barlas, Sedef Meral  Abstract

Chemotherapy-Induced Neutropenia under Exogenous Granulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor, by Şanser Güz, Orkun Irsoy, Naz Beril Akan, Gönenç Yucel  Abstract

Why so few? The gender representation gap in academic STEM fields, by Carla Rua-Gomez, Jessica Arias-Gaviria  Abstract

20:30 (echo) Plenary (238)Echo: Electricity and Sustainability, chaired by Erling Moxnes (Plenary)

The Power of Self-reinforcing Feedback: With a little help from your EV friends in Norway, by Bent Erik Bakken  Abstract

The impact of sustainable buildings in electricity demand in Colombia, by Jessica Arias-Gaviria, Veronica Valencia-Hernandez, Yris Olaya, Santiago Arango  Abstract

Choices of households in a prosumer-driven era and their impact on the electricity demand from the grid, by Davood Qorbani, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

21:00 Tue Other (239): Virtual Banquet (Fløyen 3D Experience)

22:30 Tue Poster 1 B

Poster (170)Improving Business Performance and Qualitative Insights B (Bryggen)

Analysis of low-cost carrier operations in long-haul air transport markets, by Marcia Urban, Mirko Hornung  Abstract

Market Sizing of High-Rise Elevators, by Michael Woywadt, Holger Krischen, Bo Hu  Abstract

Qualitative System Dynamics Practice: using “resource maps” as visuals for accounting education, by Federico Barnabè, Maria Cleofe Giorgino, Martin Kunc  Abstract

Using participative model building for considering behavior patterns of SMEs in Yazd Science and Technology Park, by Ali Haji Gholam Saryazdi, Dariush Poursarrajian  Abstract

Starting a System Dynamics Consulting Firm: Learnings from 1000 days of consulting, by Mihir Mathur  Abstract

Poster (217)Health Service Delivery Posters. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. B (Bryggen)

Emergency Medical Services in Maine: Rural Vs Urban Systems, by John Voyer  Abstract

Difficulty accessing health care services in Colombia., by Sarah Sarmiento  Abstract

Systemic Conceptual Modeling of Patient Flow in a Hospital Emergency Department: A case example, by Gaute Terning, Eric Brun  Abstract

How might rural hospitals adapt to prevent closure? Prioritizing innovation to mitigate a financial death spiral, by Namrata Ramakrishna, Steve Peterson  Abstract

Rising Health Care Costs in Switzerland: Reasons and Interventions, by Jonas Josi, Charly Gerber, Yan Scholl, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

Poster (158)Operations Management: in Economics, Strategy, Business, and Human Behavior B (Bryggen)

Modeling and Simulating the Effect of Well Quality on Oil Production and Profitability using System Dynamics Model, by Olusegun Stanley Tomomewo, Moones Alamooti, Scott Johnson  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model for Supply Chain Risk Assessment in Power Plants, by Sahar M. ALMashaqbeh, Jose Eduardo Munive-Hernandez, M. Khurshid Khan  Abstract

The Dynamics of Brand Strategy for Food Safety and Quality in Food Supply Chain, by Jing Mu  Abstract

Social Preferences in Dynamically Complex Supply Chains: Reciprocity in the Beer Distribution Game, by Joshua Cedric Dietz, Ivan Ðula, Andreas Groessler  Abstract

Poster (166)Stakeholder engagement poster B (Bryggen)

Exploring applications of GMB to support decarbonising the transport sector, by Peraphan Jittrapirom  Abstract

Validation as learning - Iterating qualitative structure and quantitative behaviour in GMB workshops, by Daniel Kliem, Katrin Huegel, Alexander Scheidegger, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Enhancing Inclusion of Children with Special Needs in Kakuma Refugee Camp, by Kelsey Werner, Thomas Crea, Gregory St. Arnold  Abstract

Reflecting on Factors Influencing Long-Lasting Organisational Effects of Group Model Building Interventions, by Hugo Herrera, Marleen McCardle-Keurentjes, Nuno Videira  Abstract

Push the iceberg – a systems and futures-oriented facilitation script for participatory strategic foresight, by Rocco Scolozzi  Abstract

23:15 Tue Poster 2 B

Poster (185)Economics B (Bryggen)

Modeling Cross-Border Payments and Foreign Exchange Dynamics – Correspondent Accounts Framework, by Yokei Yamaguchi, Kaoru Yamaguchi  Abstract

Mapping connectivity and risks within marine sectors to explore a transition to a sustainable (‘blue’) marine economy, by Justin Connolly  Abstract

Dam of Population and Internal Migration, by Takayuki Yamashita  Abstract

Socially Efficient Stabilization of Industrial Cycles via Organic Profit-sharing and its Crucial Tension, by Alexander Ryzhenkov  Abstract

Ecological Economic System Modelling With a Focus on Endogenous Innovation and Resilience: Preliminary Results, by Yoko Nagase, TAKURO UEHARA, Wayne Wakeland  Abstract

Poster (221)Understanding our Surroundings. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept. B (Bryggen)

Effect of Income Dynamics on Beef Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emission in China, by Dung Nguyen Thuy Tran  Abstract

Road transport decarbonization – policies to promote electric vehicles, by Armands Gravelsins, Aiga Barisa, Dagnija Blumberga, Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bazbauers  Abstract

Complex system behaviour of natural hazards in mountainous regions, by Peter Mani, Markus Stoffel  Abstract

How Exogenous Stressors Lead to Coral-Algal Phase Shifts, by Jenna Salvay  Abstract

Using System Dynamics modelling to frame environmental voluntary commitment programs: the French experience, by Enzo Bivona, Gisele Mendy Bilek  Abstract

Poster (136)Posters with Educational Emphasis B (Bryggen)

Design, Implementation and Evaluation of a Systems Thinking Course for Teachers in an M.A. Program in Learning Sciences, by Hasret Nuhoglu, Ulkem Yararbas, Emre Goktepe  Abstract

When Isaac met Jay: The Asimov - Forrester encounter, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract

Poster (198)Public Policy: Safety, Workforce, Tourism and Digital Content. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute B (Bryggen)

Balancing the police workforce, it's not all about the money, by Mieke Struik  Abstract

What makes the EU feed safety policy the safest in world? A policy feedback approach, by Bianca Cavicchi  Abstract

Using Qualitative System Dynamics in Analyzing the Effect of Tourism Industry on Economic Development and Employment in Iran, by Ali Haji Gholam Saryazdi, Dariush Poursarrajian, Amirabbas Vatanara, Mohammad Ghavidel  Abstract

Exploring the Impact of Digital Content Policies to Public Museums - the Case of National Palace Museum in Taiwan, by Jian-Jing Li, Jian Hung Chen  Abstract

Shifting the Path-Dependency of Bottled Water Towards Urban Drinking Water Security, by Sofia Valeria Cortes Calderon, David Collste, María Mancilla-García  Abstract

Poster (152)Security, Cybersecurity, & Defense B (Bryggen)

Insider Threat Dynamics; the dangerous triangle of pressure, rationalization and opportunity, by Sander Zeijlemaker  Abstract

Cybersecurity Dynamics in Software Development Environment: What system traps do exist?, by Sander Zeijlemaker, Michael von Kutzschenbach  Abstract

Wednesday July 22

06:30 Wed Parallel 3 Echo

WIP (141)Echo: Sustainable Food and Water Systems. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Ali Kerem Saysel (Rundemanen)

Groundwater Appropriation Game: A Dynamic Simulation Approach, by Elif Bal, Ali Kerem Saysel  Abstract

Towards 2050 – The Role of Aquaculture in an Ocean Space Forecasting Model, by Erica McConnell, Thomas Horschig, Bent Erik Bakken  Abstract

Horticultural production in the Niayes area, Senegal: A System dynamics analysis of the agriculture-water-labor nexus, by Sandra Volken, Patrick Bottazzi  Abstract

Investigating the dynamics of important wintering sites of waterbirds in the Czech Republic, by Igor Krejci, Jan Rydval, Zuzana Musilova, Petr Musil  Abstract

A Participatory System Dynamics model to investigate sustainable urban water management in the Ebbsfleet garden city, by Irene Pluchinotta, Alessandro Pagano, Tudorel Vilcan, Sangaralingam Ahilan, Leon Kapetas, Emily O’Donnell  Abstract

Modelling the Climate System using System Dynamics, by Cecilie Mauritzen, Ulrich Goluke, Eduard Romanenko  Abstract

Parallel (220)Echo: Environmental Applications of SD. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Can System Dynamics support planning for sustainability across processes and domains?, by Andrea Bassi, Georg Pallaske  Abstract

Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi), Delivering insight for sustainable infrastructure, by Andrea Bassi, Georg Pallaske  Abstract

Assessing Self-Sustainability of Rural Water Supply Systems: Free Household Connections vs Free Solar Pumps, by Abhishek Kumar Sinha, Om Damani, Shreya Agarwal, Sandeep Chougule, Pradip Kalbar  Abstract

Parallel (216)Echo: Population Health. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Wayne Wakeland (Bryggen)

A Systems Approach for a Systemic Problem: Modeling Intimate Partner Violence in South Africa, by Sara Peterson  Abstract

Assessing the Linkages Between Agriculture and Food Security with Household- and Regional-Level Models, by Charles Nicholson, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Surfacing System Perspectives to Guide Action and Improve Collaboration in Comprehensive Community-based Suicide Prevention, by Ann Marie White, Jill Kuhlberg, Becky Naumann, Kristen Hassmiller Lich  Abstract

WIP (162)Echo: Population Health. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Anaely Aguiar Rodriguez (Sognefjord)

A Systematic Review on Evolving Clinical Practice Guidelines for Population Screening, by Özge Karanfil, Hazal Can, Fatma Aydin, Elif Gokcen Bozkurt, Erkam Keskin, Egemen Sever, Ecesu Cetin, Ertac Nebioglu, Vasiliki Mole, Sibel Sakarya  Abstract

Exploring Complex Systems Dynamics Between Firm Strategies and Obesity Policies, by Ozgur Araz  Abstract

Modeling Hepatitis C for Targeted Screening and Cost-Effectiveness in the US, by Moosa Tatar, Susana Keeshin, Mark Mailliard, Fernando A Wilson  Abstract

Shining a Light on Norwegian Opioid Overdoses, by Nathan Waldner Cole, Richard Ruston  Abstract

Application of Group Model Building in Implementation Science: A Systematic Review of the Public Health & Healthcare Literature, by Nasim Sabounchi, David Lounsbury, Terry Huang, Priscila Zito, Pulwasha Iftikhar  Abstract

Using System Dynamics and Group Model Building to conceptualise Quality of Hospital Services, by Angeliki Lenakaki  Abstract

WIP (233)Echo: Methodology, chaired by John Morecroft (Hardangerfjord)

A Python-Based Method to Build and Simulate System Dynamics Models, by Wang Zhao, David Lara Arango  Abstract

Complex Approach for Modelling Complicated Systems, by Ivan Perl, Olga Perl  Abstract

Hardware Accelerator for System Dynamic Modeling, by Aleksandr Penskoi  Abstract

Model Structure and Scenario Analysis Archetypes Translation – An Approach to Mixing Methods, by Joshua Loughman  Abstract

Parallel (156)Echo: Supply Chain Management and the Bullwhip Effect, chaired by Andreas Groessler (Ulriken)

Algorithmic Intervention to Mitigate Inventory and Ordering Amplification in Multi-Echelon Supply Chains, by James Paine  Abstract

System Behavior for Automated Parcel Locker as an Urban Logistics Delivery Scheme , by Markus Rabe, Jorge Chicaiza-Vaca, Jesus Gonzalez-Feliu  Abstract

Eyes On the Game: Eye-tracking Analysis of the Beer Game, by Juan Pablo Torres, Andres Musalem, Alejandro HIrmas  Abstract

WIP (205)Echo: Human Resources. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by (Nordnes)

Policy Engagement for Public Health Professionals: Tools for Finding Your Place, by Jane Branscomb, Angela Snyder, Karen Minyard, James Dills  Abstract

Multi-tiered Approach to Refugee Support- Indonesia, by Braveheart Gillani  Abstract

An Exploratory System Dynamics Model of the Refugee Crisis in Northern Africa, by Ivan Taylor  Abstract

Gender inequality low-order model in the workplace due to the fertility rate in developed countries, by Walter Aliaga, Joel Bacal  Abstract

Manpower Utilisation and Innovation Capability in the Food and Beverage Industry in Southwestern Nigeria, by Victor Sobanke  Abstract

Eliminating DUI in Virginia: A Systems Approach, by Macon Thompson, Rod MacDonald  Abstract

Parallel (193)Echo: Building Equity Through Infrastructure. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by (Fisketorget)

The Effect of Food, Housing and Skills Interventions on Individual Life Trajectories, by Sarah Davie, Robert Eberlein  Abstract

Social Capital of Diversity Groups as Driver of Social Equality in the European Union, by Julio Barajas Castillo, Inge Bleijenbergh  Abstract

Searching for System Leverage: Group Model Building for a Shared Understanding of Adequate Housing in Kenya, by Gian Wieck, Kaveh Dianati, Alec Eckert, Steven Arquitt  Abstract

Parallel (177)Echo: Electric power markets (Løvstakken)

The rooftop-solar spiral of growth: a cross-country extent, speed and implication analysis, by Maritza Jimenez, Monica Castaneda, Sebastian Zapata Ramirez, Carlos Franco, Isaac Dyner  Abstract

Would renewable damp oscillations in power markets? An experimental analysis, by Jessica Arias-Gaviria, Alberto Lamadrid J., Santiago Arango  Abstract

Interaction of Dynamics between Two Temporal Granularity Levels: Renewables Uptake and the Power Market, by Onur Özgün  Abstract

Parallel (164)Echo: Stakeholder engagement II, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette (Lyderhorn)

Using Decision-making Scripts in Group Model Building Workshops, by Ke Zhou, Nici Zimmermann  Abstract

Advancing the Methods for Informing Group Model Building Subscript Design Decisions and Script Adaptations, by William Liem, Ellis Ballard  Abstract

It takes a village (to build a system dynamics model) - A reflection on 5 years of participatory model building, by Danielle Currie, Cindy Peng, Jacqueline Davison, Jo-An Atkinson  Abstract

Parallel (235)Echo: Methods in Strategy Research, chaired by Shayne Gary (Sandviksfjellet)

Strategy Convergence and Erosion of Profits, by Constantinos Markides, Erik Larsen, Shayne Gary  Abstract

Multi-Tiered Workforce and Work Complexity Modeling, by JD Caddell, Patrick Driscoll, Travis Connell, James Enos  Abstract

System Dynamics Modelling with Kotlin: From Hierarchical Models to Interactive Simulators, by Siniša Sovilj, Darko Etinger, Zlatko Sirotić, Krešimir Pripužić  Abstract

07:30 Wed Parallel 4 Echo

Parallel (143)Echo: Electric Vehicles. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Kim Warren (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Accelerating Vehicle Fleet Turnover to Achieve Climate Policy Goals, by Sergey Naumov, David Keith, John Sterman  Abstract

The Electric Vehicle diffusion in Sweden: will the country achieve its zero-emission fleet by 2030?, by Carolina Resende Haddad, Mauricio Uriona Maldonado, Tainara Volan, Caroline Rodrigues Vaz  Abstract

Employment in Automotive Parts with Electric Vehicle Market Penetration in South Africa, by Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Sumaya Nassiep, Josephine Musango  Abstract

Parallel (211)Echo: Behavioral Health. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by (Bryggen)

Modeling of adolescents’ and young adults’ drinking and driving behaviors in the United States, by Niyousha Hosseinichimeh, Rod MacDonald, David Andersen  Abstract

Modeling the Opioid Crisis to Support National Policy Development, by Tse Yang Lim, Erin Stringfellow, Celia Stafford, Catherine DiGennaro, Elizabeth Beaulieu, Emily Ewing, Lukas Glos, Reza Kazemi-Tabriz, Mohammad Jalali  Abstract

Trends in Electronic Cigarette Use and Conventional Smoking: Quantifying a Possible 'Diversion' Effect among U.S. Adolescents, by Arielle Selya, Floe Foxon  Abstract

WIP (191)Echo: Human Behavior, chaired by Saeideh Fallah-Fini (Sognefjord)

Using System Dynamics to understand Workplace Conflict, by Angeliki Lenakaki, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Escape from the Death Spiral: The Survival of Peer Mentoring Groups, by Thomas Horschig, Tomas Hubik, Hector Menendez, Joona Tuovinen  Abstract

Conceptualizing Loneliness, by Bomin Kim  Abstract

Contagious Anxiety: Modeling Stress Symptoms as Disease, by Max Brautigam, Steve Peterson, Lindsey Reitinger  Abstract

Distrust Dynamics About Institutions in Colombia, by Jorge Andrick Parra Valencia  Abstract

Parallel (226)Echo: Structure-Behavior Analysis, chaired by Yutaka Takahashi (Hardangerfjord)

Finding the Loops that Matter, by Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg  Abstract

Seamlessly Integrating Loops That Matter into Model Development and Analysis, by William Schoenberg, Robert Eberlein  Abstract

Structural Analysis of System Dynamics Models, by Lukas Schoenenberger, Alexander Schmid, Radu Tanase, Mathias Beck, Andrea Schenker-Wicki, Markus Schwaninger  Abstract

WIP (203)Echo: Energy Policy and Transportation. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by Rachel Freeman (Fisketorget)

Attraction-Repulsion Function for Modeling Bicycle Use in Bogotá, by Luz-Angélica Rodriguez, Omar Andrés Parra Urrego  Abstract

Transitioning towards a 100% solar-hydro based generation, by Juan Esteban Martinez Jaramillo, Ann van Ackere, Erik Larsen  Abstract

Integral policy making for sustainable mobility, by Arjen Ros, Egbert Roos  Abstract

From Energy Resilience to Community Resilience: Exploring the Links between Infrastructure Services & Human Wellbeing, by Sara Peterson  Abstract

Modelling gendered innovation and energy services security in poor urban environments, by Benjamin Batinge  Abstract

Examining Impacts of a Congestion Pricing Policy on Road Safety Outcomes in New York City, by Becky Naumann, Jill Kuhlberg, Nasim Sabounchi, Kristen Hassmiller Lich  Abstract

WIP (182)Echo: Modelling resource dynamics (Løvstakken)

Envisioning the Sustainability Transition – understanding processes of change and introducing 'Sustainable Lifestyles Nexus', by Ana Carina da Silva pereira  Abstract

Functionality and financial implications of professional maintenance services for rural water service delivery in Kenya, by Pranav Chintalapati  Abstract

Localizing the circular economy - mining the urban ressources, by Daniel Kliem, Alexander Scheidegger, Katrin Huegel, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

System dynamics modeling of neutron flux and reactivity change in the 4th reactor of the Chernobyl Power Plant, by Zsolt Hetesi, Tibor Kiss, Zsolt Németh  Abstract

Groundwater dynamics; a common-pool resources problem, by Ali R. Akhavan, Paulo Goncalves  Abstract

Peace Engineering in the Arctic: Accommodating diverse interests in a changing environment., by Nancy Hayden, Jasper Hardesty, Howard Passell  Abstract

WIP (165)Echo: Stakeholder engagement, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette (Rundemanen)

Developing Inclusive Communities of Practice, by Peter Hovmand, Mia Vogel, Braveheart Gillani, Ellis Ballard  Abstract

Using Participatory Modeling to Help Wild Tigers: Informing Policies Regarding Tiger Farming and Trade, by Erica Rieder, Lincoln Larson  Abstract

Participatory system modeling for improving synergies between coastal and rural areas: the COASTAL project, by Jean-Marie Lescot, Büsra Atamer Balkan, Francoise Vernier  Abstract

Coastal community adaptation planning to sea level rise, by Raymond Smith  Abstract

Insights gained from a reanalysis of five model-facilitated change processes in healthcare based on action research approaches, by Paul Holmstrom, Thomas Björk- Eriksson, Caroline Olsson, Fredrik Bååthe, Pal Davidsen  Abstract

WIP (237)Echo: Strategy (Sandviksfjellet)

Switching to Other Currents: Empowering Medellin’s Sustainable Energy Cluster through System Dynamics Tools, by Laura Upegui, Carlos A. Upegui, Blanca H. Zapata  Abstract

In Pursuit of Evidence-Based Policy: The Adoption of Causal Modeling Approaches, by Amy Squires  Abstract

Incentives and Correlational Thinking: An Experiment with Piece-Rate Payments, by Max Gamerman, Cleotilde Gonzalez  Abstract

Phase Transitions in Crisis Management: Challenges and Opportunities for Strategic Decision-making, by Bjørn Tallak Bakken  Abstract

System Dynamics Applied on Marketing to Push Nokia Back to the Best-Selling Mobile Phone Brand in 2030, by Min Xiang, Kave Jangi, David Wheat  Abstract

The dynamics of rebound effects of sharing systems: an initial reflection, by Daniela Pigosso, Vinicius Picanco Rodrigues  Abstract

08:30 Wed Parallel 5

WIP (175): Business (Rundemanen)

Simulation of passenger demand and operating cost scenarios for the use of autonomous shuttles in rural public transport, by Astrid Guehnemann, Oliver Roider, Roman Klementschitz  Abstract

Reconfiguring Food Supply Systems through Farmer Producer Organisations and Digital Platforms, by Naoum Tsolakis, Jagjit Singh Srai, Nitin Joglekar  Abstract

Analyzing the behavior of the complexity level of a company according to logistics cost, by Phillip Kiessner  Abstract

Beyond the Tourism Area Life Cycle: a model for competing tourist destinations, by Isabel Albaladejo, Fuensanta Arnaldos, María Pilar Martínez-García  Abstract

COMPLEX: Using a System Dynamics Approach to Modelling Plastic Artefacts in Museum Collections, by Katherine Curran, Nici Zimmermann  Abstract

On parallel aggregation and disaggregation in system dynamics simulation models, by Christian Marchetti, Andreas Groessler  Abstract

Parallel (183): Macroeconomics, chaired by Kaveh Dianati (Nordnes)

MacroLab20: A Framework for Comparative Macroeconomics, by David Wheat, Alina Novik, Marianna Oliskevych  Abstract

The MODCAP model. Recreating US economic development 1980-2020 with a relatively simple model of a national economy., by Jorgen Randers, Ulrich Goluke  Abstract

Political System and Culture: The Critical Determinant of Technology, Innovation, and Economic Growth, by Muhammad Tasrif  Abstract

WIP (140): Socio-Ecological Systems and Sustainability. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by (Hardangerfjord)

Using Participatory System Dynamics to understand and improve the public participation process in Solid Waste Management, by Hellen Gitau, Kanyiva Muindi, Nici Zimmermann, Kaveh Dianati  Abstract

The Energy Transition: Impact on the Ocean, by Thomas Horschig, Bent Erik Bakken  Abstract

Green-blue infrastructure implementation in urban areas: tradeoffs, synergies, and co-benefits, by Brooke Wilkerson  Abstract

Robust water management on a summer island, by Andreas Nicolaidis Lindqvist  Abstract

Analysing the environmental impact of transportation on the last mile for online and in-store shopping, by Susanne Feichtinger, Manfred Gronalt  Abstract

Life cycle management of electric vehicles in Norway, and its effects on SDGs achievement using the Integrated Assessment Model, by Carla Susana A. Assuad, Matteo Pedercini  Abstract

Parallel (146): Climate Change Policy. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Projecting impact of climate change and exploring policy measures, by Tae Hoon Moon  Abstract

Understanding Contrasting Narratives on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage, by Zahra Janipour, Floris Swennenhuis, Vincent de Gooyert, Heleen de Coninck  Abstract

Establishing the feasibility of alleviating water shortages in Cape Town using decentralised wastewater treatment plants, by Amore van Zyl, Johannes Jooste  Abstract

Parallel (212): Health Policy. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Hugo Herrera (Bryggen)

Establishing the 'True Cost of Care' also Reveals the Benefits - Modelling Home Care in Northern Ireland, by Douglas McKelvie, Sarah Boyar, Donald Scott  Abstract

Evaluating the Health and Economic Benefits of WHO Package of Essential Non-Communicable Diseases Intervention in Cambodia, by John Ansah, David Matchar, Amina Islam, Nirmali Sivapragasam  Abstract

Impact of sugar-sweetened beverage tax on dental caries: a simulation analysis, by John Ansah, Nipaporn Urwannachotima  Abstract

WIP (210): Epidemiological Modeling. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. (Sandviksfjellet)

What’s wrong with epidemic prevention and control system of COVID-19 in China: Weak Section and Intervention Strategy, by Jiaoling Huang, Qin Zhu  Abstract

Using System Dynamics Against the COVID-19 and Other Grievances, by Bo Hu, Bo Zhang  Abstract

Is It Safe for Work Resumption during the COVID-19 epidemic in Shanghai, China: An SD Modeling Study, by Jidi Zhao, Ying Qian  Abstract

Strengthening national vaccination delivery systems for displaced populations in protracted humanitarian crises in Lebanon, by Sharif Ismail, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Fouad Fouad, Karl Blanchet, Josephine Borghi  Abstract

Simulating the impacts of multiple lifestyle-related risk factors on the health and productivity of Australians, by Danielle Currie, Jacqueline Davison, Simon Chiu, Paul Crosland  Abstract

WIP (134): Using Technology to Develop Learning Environments, chaired by (Løvstakken)

MIES Project, a review of the education proposal. System dynamics as a toolbox for the Systems Citizen., by Francisco Araujo, Bertha Baez, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado  Abstract

Managing Urban Sustainability in a Cooperative Interactive Learning Environment, by Stefano Armenia, Federico Barnabè, Alessandro Pompei, Rocco Scolozzi  Abstract

Using Online Interactive Learning Environments to Map Student Learning, by Jennifer Johnson  Abstract

Systemcheck – A System Dynamics learning game for pupils on urban-rural transport interactions, by Lukas Hartwig  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model for Higher Education Technology Transfer Analysis, by Laura Shupp, Osamah A. Almuayyad  Abstract

Feedback (189): Understanding and Managing the Complexity of the Modern World (Lyderhorn)

Machine Learning and Structure Representation for Crop Price Prediction, by Kelechi Odoemena, Mihir Mathur, Walker Orr  Abstract

Modeling the Complex and Dynamic Urban System, by Komal Handore, Veruval Devadas  Abstract

Implementation of Sustainable Health Equity in Nigeria’s Formal and Informal Sector, by Tolulope Bakare  Abstract

WIP (174): Improving Competitiveness and Operations Management, chaired by Hubert Korzilius (Ulriken)

Virtuous and Vicious Cycles: Investigating the Collaboration Processes Needed to Build Industry 4.0-Ready Supply Networks, by Nikolai Kazantsev  Abstract

Sustainable Supply Chain Practices: A Case Study on A Large Livestock Farm Operations, by Mohammad Shamsuddoha, Tasnuba Nasir  Abstract

Strategic Workforce Planning: How do companies implement and operate system dynamics models?, by Miriam Spano, Hubert Korzilius  Abstract

The Exogenous Challenge of Coffee Price Dynamics: Searching for Endogenous Hope, by Juan Daniel Alvarez-Cadena, Camilo Olaya  Abstract

Artificial Intelligence and Autonomy in Space: Balancing Risks of Unintended Escalation, by Nancy Hayden, Jason Reinhardt, Mallory Stewart, JD Doak, Thushara Gunda, Kelsey Abel  Abstract

Possibility of installing LED fishing lights in the squid-jigging fishery in Japan, by Kenji YASUDA, Yutaka Takahashi, Hideyuki Takahashi, Jun Miyoshi, Ryuzo Takahashi, Jun Eguchi  Abstract

Parallel (194): Urban Livelihoods, Security, and Household Relief Efforts. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by David Lounsbury (Fisketorget)

Analysis of the boundaries and a possible extension of Jay Forrester’s ‘Urban Dynamics’, by Henry Bartelet  Abstract

Decreasing household food waste: A study of food waste interventions, by Jan-Wouter de Waal, Cornelia van Daalen, Pieternel Luning, Bea Steenbekkers  Abstract

No Time to Waste: Making Waste Sorting Worth the Time, by Mustafe H. Jama, Stian Taalesen, John Egil Nilssen, Kim van Oorschot  Abstract

10:00 Wed Plenary (137): Hindsight and Foresight: Moving the Field Forward, chaired by Pal Davidsen (Plenary)

Looking to the Future with 2020 Hindsight: Was the Limits to Growth Right?, by Jorgen Randers  Abstract

Can Systems Thinking be an Antidote to Extensive Evil?, by George Richardson  Abstract

Making Each Other Smarter: Assessing Success Factors of Online Peer Mentoring Groups as Support for Learning System Dynamics, by Emiliya Suprun, Andrijana Horvat, David Andersen  Abstract

11:30 Wed Other (172): Sponsor Discussion on Environment Thread Parallel Session (224): Ecological Applications by DESTA Research LLP, chaired by Kabir Sharma, Mihir Mathur (DESTA)

12:00 Wed Poster 3 A

Poster (171)Interactive Learning Environments and Lessons in Unintended Consequences A (Bryggen)

Capital budget decision in hindsight: ILE for learning and decision making, by Joaquim Matos  Abstract

Creating a new Net Zero Sim to compliment En-Roads as an enabler for energy transition, by Paul Monus, David Peterson, Scott Johnson, William Ryder, Felicjan Rydzak  Abstract

304 Design Company Case Analysis, by Min Xiang  Abstract

Why Recruitment Policy For Growth May Fail? A Simulation Approach To Understanding Dynamics Of Growth And Recruitment, by Marjan Shamayeli, Pal Davidsen  Abstract

System dynamics modeling of Mongolian cashmere sector, by Ariunerdene Dashjamts, Budjav Uuganbayar, Badarch Dendev  Abstract

Poster (218)Intervention, Innovation, and Analysis Health Posters. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. A (Bryggen)

Analysing the health system response to payment for performance interventions in Tanzania, by Rachel Cassidy, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Agnes Rwashana Semwanga, Neha S. Singh, Peter Binyaruka, Nicholaus Mziray, John Maiba, Zaid Chalabi, Karl Blanchet, Josephine Borghi  Abstract

Registered Nurse Shortage in New Mexico: System Dynamics Modeling as an Innovative Approach to Strengthening the Workforce, by Melissa Cole, Christine E Kasper, Jan Martin  Abstract

Taking a Broad Societal Perspective to the Prevalence of Type-2 Diabetes in the Netherlands: Using GMB and Scenario Analysis, by Sebastiaan Deuten, Babak Bahaddin  Abstract

The Impact of Supply Chain Performance on Seasonal Influenza: An Exploratory Analysis, by Nabeela Mumtaz  Abstract

Poster (180)Resource management dynamics A (Bryggen)

Understanding the Dynamics of the Circular Economy, by Ana Carina da Silva pereira  Abstract

Review of the application of System Dynamics to problems in food supply chains, by Daniel Sepulveda Estay, Gokul Pankaj  Abstract

Circular Economy scenarios in the Electrical and Electronic Equipment industry, by Daniel Guzzo, Vinicius Picanco Rodrigues, Janaina Costa  Abstract

Beyond the tragedy of ‘open access’: An exploratory model of governance rules for the commons, by Ema Gusheva  Abstract

Modelling Paradigms of Metal Markets as Deep Uncertainty: Application to the Cobalt Market, by Erika Van Der Linden  Abstract

Poster (234): Sustainability Strategies (Bryggen)

Using group model building to support strategic sustainable development, by Matilda Watz, Henrik Ny, Sophie I. Hallstedt  Abstract

Sustainability in Universities: A framework for monitoring the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals of Agenda 2030, by Norah Alsubait, Tiru Arthanari  Abstract

Smart City Logistics: A First Perspective on Modeling Cargo Sous Terrain, by Annalena Hofer, Manuel Müller, Julian Andrade, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

12:45 Wed Poster 4 A

Poster (188)Human Behavior Poster Session A (Bryggen)

How biases play out in teams: A dynamic perspective, by Shivraj Kanungo, Delia Mateias  Abstract

A Test of Adults’ Linear Thinking in Non-Linear Math problems for Children, by Peijie He, Cleotilde Gonzalez  Abstract

Community-based system dynamics modeling of sensitive public health issues: Maximizing diverse representation of individuals , by Arielle Deutsch, Rebecca Lustfield, Mohammad Jalali  Abstract

A Dynamic Model of Coercive Control in Adolescent Relationships, by Leanne Freeman, Shreya Sonthalia  Abstract

Study of Commitment Issue Within Local Community, by Mina Rahmani, Mahla Rashidian, Heather Arghandeh Paudler  Abstract

Poster (232)Methodology A (Bryggen)

"Starter" Models for Participatory Model Building, by George Richardson  Abstract

Perception of Developed Country Status and the Sustainability of Ghana’s Cocoa Supply Chain, by John Kwesi Buor  Abstract

Component models as plug-in's for system dynamics models, by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros  Abstract

Solving optimization problems based on System Dynamics models, by Radostaw Pytlak, Tomasz Zawadzki  Abstract

Structural Control Analysis of System Dynamics Models, by Tianyi Li  Abstract

Poster (197)Building and Infrastructure. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute. A (Bryggen)

Meeting Housing Needs of Child Welfare-Involved Families: Policy Insights from Simulation Modeling, by Patrick Fowler, Katherine Marçal, Peter Hovmand  Abstract

Potential Diffusion Trajectories of Low Impact Development (LID) solutions for Urban Storm Water Management in Built-Up Areas, by Eduard Romanenko  Abstract

Reaching the Vanguard target for reducing homelessness: Leveraging administrative data and systems modelling and simulation, by Mark Heffernan  Abstract

Explaning Future Urban Mobility Mechanisms Using System’s Thinking – A Case Study of Munich and Singapore, by Christian Assmann, Madhur Jain, Simon Shepherd  Abstract

A system dynamics approach to gendered energy innovations in urban poor environments, by Josephine Musango  Abstract

15:30 Wed Sponsor Office Hours

Other (199): copernicos, change agents in asset management: Zoom Office Hours Synchronous, chaired by Arjen Ros, Michel Kuijer (Copernicos)

Other (159): DESTA Research LLP: Zoom Office Hours Synchronous, chaired by Kabir Sharma, Mihir Mathur (DESTA)

Other (244): Strategy Dynamics Ltd.: Zoom Sponsor Activity Synchronous, chaired by Christina Spencer, Kim Warren

16:30 Wed Plenary (249): Community Engagement for Social Change using System Dynamics, chaired by Saras Chung (Plenary)

Practice reflections on engaging communities for social change with system dynamics, by Ellis Ballard, Kelsey Werner, Jill Kuhlberg  Abstract

Understanding the drivers of youth violence in an urban community, by Steve Peterson  Abstract

Challenges and opportunities of intervening in an early childhood education system, by Nishesh Chalise, Rachel Matsumoto, Hayley Butler, William Liem, Ellen O'Neill, Saras Chung  Abstract

18:00 Wed Sponsor Activities

Other (270): Social System Design Lab, Brown School of Social Work, Washington U in St. Louis: Zoom Sponsor Activity Synchronous, chaired by Ellis Ballard (SSDLWashU)

Other (145): Sponsor-hosted Preview of Health Thread Parallel Sessions (215 and 219) by Homer Consulting, chaired by Jack Homer

18:30 Wed Parallel 6

Parallel (144): Toward Sustainable Energy. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by James Paine (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Application of system dynamics for design of national energy and climate plan, by Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bazbauers, Armands Gravelsins, Dagnija Blumberga  Abstract

Paradigm shift for sustainable transport in tourist destination in Thailand, by Amphai Wejwithan, Hermann Knoflacher, Helga Kromp-Kolb, Tanawa Sintunawa  Abstract

Technological transformation in the electricity sector: How active demand-side management affects residential load curve?, by Maritza Jimenez, Isaac Dyner, Carlos Franco  Abstract

WIP (208): Health Policy. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Saeideh Fallah-Fini (Lyderhorn)

Building Policymaker Capacity to Address Maternal Mortality in the United States Using Systems Mapping and Modeling, by Leigh Alderman, Angela Snyder, Karen Minyard  Abstract

A critical reflection on approaches to problem articulation for system dynamics modelling in health policy analysis projects, by Sharif Ismail, Rachel Cassidy, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Neha S. Singh, Karl Blanchet, Josephine Borghi  Abstract

No Dieses Orphan: Technology, Economics, and Policy for Providing Equitable Health Amidst Extreme Inequity, by Chintan Vaishnav, Vijay Chandru  Abstract

Improving safety in the food chain: the case of Campylobacter bacterial contamination in poultry in the Netherlands, by Andrijana Horvat, Edien Rommens, Marloes Busscher, Alberto Garre Perez, Miriam Koene, Pieternel Luning, Cornelia van Daalen, Mohammad Jalali  Abstract

Assessing Intensive Care Unit Context for Implementing Evidence-Based Guidelines for Pediatric Severe Traumatic Brain Injury, by Mia Vogel, Braveheart Gillani, Jose Pineda Soto, Enola Proctor, David V. Habif, Peter Hovmand  Abstract

The Intersection of Implementation Science and Systems Science: A GMB Pilot Study for Effective Uptake of EBPs, by Nasim Sabounchi, Terry Huang, David Lounsbury, Weanne Estrada, Emily Ferris  Abstract

Parallel (219): Contagion Dynamics. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Pascal Gambardella (Nordnes)

Statics and Dynamics of Malaria Transmission. The Relationship between Prevalence in Humans and Mosquitoes., by Santiago Movilla Blanco  Abstract

The Drivers of Brucellosis Transmission in Jordan, by Haitham Taha, Carl Smith, Danielle Currie  Abstract

The Malaria Community Level Model: A Decision-Making Support Tool to Formulate Effective IVM Strategies., by Santiago Movilla Blanco  Abstract

Parallel (215): Methods in Health Research. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Ozgur Araz (Bryggen)

Advancing Community Engaged Approaches to Identifying Structural Drivers of Racial Bias in Health Diagnostic Algorithms, by Jill Kuhlberg, Irene Headen, Ellis Ballard, Donald Martin  Abstract

Building Interactive System Dynamics Simulations in R, by JD Caddell, Travis Connell, James Enos, Patrick Driscoll  Abstract

Addressing parameter uncertainty in SD models with fit-to-history and Monte-Carlo sensitivity methods, by Wayne Wakeland, Jack Homer  Abstract

Parallel (190): Dynamics of Human Behavior, chaired by Erin Stringfellow (Sognefjord)

Towards a Behavioural System Dynamics: Exploring its scope and delineating its promise, by David Lane  Abstract

A Supply and Demand Model of Political Party Growth, by John Hayward, Rebecca Jeffs, Paul Roach  Abstract

Vipassana Meditation: An Endogenous, Feedback-centred Approach to Human Mental Well-being, by Kaveh Dianati  Abstract

Parallel (148): Using information to gain knowledge (Rundemanen)

How network structure impacts socially reinforced diffusion?, by Jad Sassine, Hazhir Rahmandad  Abstract

Modeling Information Processing within Social Networks: Understanding the Persistence of Contrarian Health Beliefs , by Sara Metcalf, Harvey Palmer, Qiuyi Zhang, Mary Northridge  Abstract

Systems Thinking for Education Equity Partnership (STEEP): Building a Community of Practice of K-12 Educators in St. Louis, MO, by Allison Simpson, Carmen Stayton, Ellis Ballard, Sarah Tolch, Sherita Love, Saras Chung  Abstract

Parallel (129): Moving Novices Toward Problem Understanding Using SD (Hardangerfjord)

Guiding novices with abstract rules – the case of variables recognition, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

Scaffolding feedback in complex dynamic system context: Effect of online interactive learning environments, by Aklilu Tilahun Tadesse  Abstract

Microworld for learning about the diffusion of non-conventional Renewable electricity generation technologies in Colombia, by Verónica Marrero, Jessica Arias-Gaviria, Santiago Arango, Erik Larsen  Abstract

Parallel (157): Operations Management and Public Policy, chaired by Burcu Tan (Ulriken)

The impact of Cash-Based Interventions on the dignity enhancement in persistent humanitarian refugee crises, by Saeed Taheri, Fahimeh Allahi, Ramez Kian, Ehsan Sabet, Sander de Leeuw  Abstract

System Dynamics Models to Guide Operations Management and Public Policy Research, by Jose Luis Lopez, David Keith, Edward Anderson  Abstract

Entity-based asset modeling, a databased model for infrastructure, by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros  Abstract

Parallel (196): Public Policy in Comparative Context. Public Policy Thread sponsored by Millennium Institute., chaired by ED Rebecca Niles (Fisketorget)

Democracies must deal with misleading advice regarding complex problems, by Erling Moxnes  Abstract

China (Mao Zedong policies design 1958), by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez, Pedro Dagoberto lAmaguer Navarro  Abstract

A State-of-the-Art Review: Ireland, a Model State?, by Sinéad Madden  Abstract

Parallel (179): Complex resource management tasks, chaired by Saeed Langarudi (Løvstakken)

Using Microworlds for Resilience Management of Food Systems, by Hugo Herrera, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Sustainability of Pance River as a Water Resource, by Nathalia Niño Giraldo  Abstract

How large is the global population when limited by long term sustainable global metal-, energy- and phosphate supply?, by Harald Ulrik Sverdrup, Anders Nordby, Deniz Koca, Anna Olafsdottir  Abstract

Parallel (227): Growth and Competition, chaired by Chintan Vaishnav (Sandviksfjellet)

The Dynamics of Competition and of the Diffusion of Innovation, by James Utterback  Abstract

Assessing prospects: electrification-based business model and deep uncertainty using scenario definition & sensitivity analysis, by Juliana Zapata Riveros, Matthias Speich, Mirjam West, Silvia Ulli-Beer  Abstract

Investigating the causes of the “growth-profitability efficacy syndrome”, by Si Cheng, Jeff Trailer  Abstract

19:30 Wed Plenary (250): The Curated Collections of Jay Forrester (Plenary)

Introducing: New Online Collection of Forrester’s Work in Social Dynamics, by George Richardson  Abstract

Economic Dynamics: Two Years from Completion, by Robert Eberlein  Abstract

21:30 Wed Parallel 5 Echo

WIP (175)Echo: Business (Rundemanen)

Simulation of passenger demand and operating cost scenarios for the use of autonomous shuttles in rural public transport, by Astrid Guehnemann, Oliver Roider, Roman Klementschitz  Abstract

Reconfiguring Food Supply Systems through Farmer Producer Organisations and Digital Platforms, by Naoum Tsolakis, Jagjit Singh Srai, Nitin Joglekar  Abstract

Analyzing the behavior of the complexity level of a company according to logistics cost, by Phillip Kiessner  Abstract

Beyond the Tourism Area Life Cycle: a model for competing tourist destinations, by Isabel Albaladejo, Fuensanta Arnaldos, María Pilar Martínez-García  Abstract

COMPLEX: Using a System Dynamics Approach to Modelling Plastic Artefacts in Museum Collections, by Katherine Curran, Nici Zimmermann  Abstract

On parallel aggregation and disaggregation in system dynamics simulation models, by Christian Marchetti, Andreas Groessler  Abstract

Parallel (183)Echo: Macroeconomics, chaired by Kaveh Dianati (Nordnes)

MacroLab20: A Framework for Comparative Macroeconomics, by David Wheat, Alina Novik, Marianna Oliskevych  Abstract

The MODCAP model. Recreating US economic development 1980-2020 with a relatively simple model of a national economy., by Jorgen Randers, Ulrich Goluke  Abstract

Political System and Culture: The Critical Determinant of Technology, Innovation, and Economic Growth, by Muhammad Tasrif  Abstract

Parallel (146)Echo: Climate Change Policy. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Travis Franck (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Projecting impact of climate change and exploring policy measures, by Tae Hoon Moon  Abstract

Understanding Contrasting Narratives on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage, by Zahra Janipour, Floris Swennenhuis, Vincent de Gooyert, Heleen de Coninck  Abstract

Establishing the feasibility of alleviating water shortages in Cape Town using decentralised wastewater treatment plants, by Amore van Zyl, Johannes Jooste  Abstract

WIP (140)Echo: Socio-Ecological Systems and Sustainability. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by Allyson Beall King (Hardangerfjord)

Using Participatory System Dynamics to understand and improve the public participation process in Solid Waste Management, by Hellen Gitau, Kanyiva Muindi, Nici Zimmermann, Kaveh Dianati  Abstract

The Energy Transition: Impact on the Ocean, by Thomas Horschig, Bent Erik Bakken  Abstract

Green-blue infrastructure implementation in urban areas: tradeoffs, synergies, and co-benefits, by Brooke Wilkerson  Abstract

Robust water management on a summer island, by Andreas Nicolaidis Lindqvist  Abstract

Analysing the environmental impact of transportation on the last mile for online and in-store shopping, by Susanne Feichtinger, Manfred Gronalt  Abstract

Life cycle management of electric vehicles in Norway, and its effects on SDGs achievement using the Integrated Assessment Model, by Carla Susana A. Assuad, Matteo Pedercini  Abstract

WIP (210)Echo: Epidemiological Modeling. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. (Sandviksfjellet)

What’s wrong with epidemic prevention and control system of COVID-19 in China: Weak Section and Intervention Strategy, by Jiaoling Huang, Qin Zhu  Abstract

Using System Dynamics Against the COVID-19 and Other Grievances, by Bo Hu, Bo Zhang  Abstract

Is It Safe for Work Resumption during the COVID-19 epidemic in Shanghai, China: An SD Modeling Study, by Jidi Zhao, Ying Qian  Abstract

Strengthening national vaccination delivery systems for displaced populations in protracted humanitarian crises in Lebanon, by Sharif Ismail, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Fouad Fouad, Karl Blanchet, Josephine Borghi  Abstract

Simulating the impacts of multiple lifestyle-related risk factors on the health and productivity of Australians, by Danielle Currie, Jacqueline Davison, Simon Chiu, Paul Crosland  Abstract

Parallel (212)Echo: Health Policy. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Hugo Herrera (Bryggen)

Establishing the 'True Cost of Care' also Reveals the Benefits - Modelling Home Care in Northern Ireland, by Douglas McKelvie, Sarah Boyar, Donald Scott  Abstract

Evaluating the Health and Economic Benefits of WHO Package of Essential Non-Communicable Diseases Intervention in Cambodia, by John Ansah, David Matchar, Amina Islam, Nirmali Sivapragasam  Abstract

Impact of sugar-sweetened beverage tax on dental caries: a simulation analysis, by John Ansah, Nipaporn Urwannachotima  Abstract

WIP (134)Echo: Using Technology to Develop Learning Environments, chaired by Raafat Zaini (Løvstakken)

MIES Project, a review of the education proposal. System dynamics as a toolbox for the Systems Citizen., by Francisco Araujo, Bertha Baez, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado  Abstract

Managing Urban Sustainability in a Cooperative Interactive Learning Environment, by Stefano Armenia, Federico Barnabè, Alessandro Pompei, Rocco Scolozzi  Abstract

Using Online Interactive Learning Environments to Map Student Learning, by Jennifer Johnson  Abstract

Systemcheck – A System Dynamics learning game for pupils on urban-rural transport interactions, by Lukas Hartwig  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model for Higher Education Technology Transfer Analysis, by Laura Shupp, Osamah A. Almuayyad  Abstract

WIP (174)Echo: Improving Competitiveness and Operations Management, chaired by Hubert Korzilius (Ulriken)

Virtuous and Vicious Cycles: Investigating the Collaboration Processes Needed to Build Industry 4.0-Ready Supply Networks, by Nikolai Kazantsev  Abstract

Sustainable Supply Chain Practices: A Case Study on A Large Livestock Farm Operations, by Mohammad Shamsuddoha, Tasnuba Nasir  Abstract

Strategic Workforce Planning: How do companies implement and operate system dynamics models?, by Miriam Spano, Hubert Korzilius  Abstract

The Exogenous Challenge of Coffee Price Dynamics: Searching for Endogenous Hope, by Juan Daniel Alvarez-Cadena, Camilo Olaya  Abstract

Artificial Intelligence and Autonomy in Space: Balancing Risks of Unintended Escalation, by Nancy Hayden, Jason Reinhardt, Mallory Stewart, JD Doak, Thushara Gunda, Kelsey Abel  Abstract

Possibility of installing LED fishing lights in the squid-jigging fishery in Japan, by Kenji YASUDA, Yutaka Takahashi, Hideyuki Takahashi, Jun Miyoshi, Ryuzo Takahashi, Jun Eguchi  Abstract

Parallel (194)Echo: Urban Livelihoods, Security, and Household Relief Efforts. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute., chaired by (Fisketorget)

Analysis of the boundaries and a possible extension of Jay Forrester’s ‘Urban Dynamics’, by Henry Bartelet  Abstract

Decreasing household food waste: A study of food waste interventions, by Jan-Wouter de Waal, Cornelia van Daalen, Pieternel Luning, Bea Steenbekkers  Abstract

No Time to Waste: Making Waste Sorting Worth the Time, by Mustafe H. Jama, Stian Taalesen, John Egil Nilssen, Kim van Oorschot  Abstract

22:00 (echo) Plenary (137)Echo: Hindsight and Foresight: Moving the Field Forward, chaired by Pal Davidsen (Plenary)

Looking to the Future with 2020 Hindsight: Was the Limits to Growth Right?, by Jorgen Randers  Abstract

Can Systems Thinking be an Antidote to Extensive Evil?, by George Richardson  Abstract

Making Each Other Smarter: Assessing Success Factors of Online Peer Mentoring Groups as Support for Learning System Dynamics, by Emiliya Suprun, Andrijana Horvat, David Andersen  Abstract

22:30 Wed Poster 3 B

Poster (171)Interactive Learning Environments and Lessons in Unintended Consequences B (Bryggen)

Capital budget decision in hindsight: ILE for learning and decision making, by Joaquim Matos  Abstract

Creating a new Net Zero Sim to compliment En-Roads as an enabler for energy transition, by Paul Monus, David Peterson, Scott Johnson, William Ryder, Felicjan Rydzak  Abstract

304 Design Company Case Analysis, by Min Xiang  Abstract

Why Recruitment Policy For Growth May Fail? A Simulation Approach To Understanding Dynamics Of Growth And Recruitment, by Marjan Shamayeli, Pal Davidsen  Abstract

System dynamics modeling of Mongolian cashmere sector, by Ariunerdene Dashjamts, Budjav Uuganbayar, Badarch Dendev  Abstract

Poster (218)Intervention, Innovation, and Analysis Health Posters. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting. B (Bryggen)

Analysing the health system response to payment for performance interventions in Tanzania, by Rachel Cassidy, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Agnes Rwashana Semwanga, Neha S. Singh, Peter Binyaruka, Nicholaus Mziray, John Maiba, Zaid Chalabi, Karl Blanchet, Josephine Borghi  Abstract

Registered Nurse Shortage in New Mexico: System Dynamics Modeling as an Innovative Approach to Strengthening the Workforce, by Melissa Cole, Christine E Kasper, Jan Martin  Abstract

Taking a Broad Societal Perspective to the Prevalence of Type-2 Diabetes in the Netherlands: Using GMB and Scenario Analysis, by Sebastiaan Deuten, Babak Bahaddin  Abstract

The Impact of Supply Chain Performance on Seasonal Influenza: An Exploratory Analysis, by Nabeela Mumtaz  Abstract

Poster (180)Resource management dynamics B (Bryggen)

Understanding the Dynamics of the Circular Economy, by Ana Carina da Silva pereira  Abstract

Review of the application of System Dynamics to problems in food supply chains, by Daniel Sepulveda Estay, Gokul Pankaj  Abstract

Circular Economy scenarios in the Electrical and Electronic Equipment industry, by Daniel Guzzo, Vinicius Picanco Rodrigues, Janaina Costa  Abstract

Beyond the tragedy of ‘open access’: An exploratory model of governance rules for the commons, by Ema Gusheva  Abstract

Modelling Paradigms of Metal Markets as Deep Uncertainty: Application to the Cobalt Market, by Erika Van Der Linden  Abstract

23:15 Wed Poster 4 B

Poster (188)Human Behavior Poster Session B (Bryggen)

How biases play out in teams: A dynamic perspective, by Shivraj Kanungo, Delia Mateias  Abstract

A Test of Adults’ Linear Thinking in Non-Linear Math problems for Children, by Peijie He, Cleotilde Gonzalez  Abstract

Community-based system dynamics modeling of sensitive public health issues: Maximizing diverse representation of individuals , by Arielle Deutsch, Rebecca Lustfield, Mohammad Jalali  Abstract

A Dynamic Model of Coercive Control in Adolescent Relationships, by Leanne Freeman, Shreya Sonthalia  Abstract

Study of Commitment Issue Within Local Community, by Mina Rahmani, Mahla Rashidian, Heather Arghandeh Paudler  Abstract

Poster (232)Methodology B (Bryggen)

"Starter" Models for Participatory Model Building, by George Richardson  Abstract

Perception of Developed Country Status and the Sustainability of Ghana’s Cocoa Supply Chain, by John Kwesi Buor  Abstract

Component models as plug-in's for system dynamics models, by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros  Abstract

Solving optimization problems based on System Dynamics models, by Radostaw Pytlak, Tomasz Zawadzki  Abstract

Structural Control Analysis of System Dynamics Models, by Tianyi Li  Abstract

Poster (197)Building and Infrastructure. Public Policy Thread sponsored by the Millennium Institute. B (Bryggen)

Meeting Housing Needs of Child Welfare-Involved Families: Policy Insights from Simulation Modeling, by Patrick Fowler, Katherine Marçal, Peter Hovmand  Abstract

Potential Diffusion Trajectories of Low Impact Development (LID) solutions for Urban Storm Water Management in Built-Up Areas, by Eduard Romanenko  Abstract

Reaching the Vanguard target for reducing homelessness: Leveraging administrative data and systems modelling and simulation, by Mark Heffernan  Abstract

Explaning Future Urban Mobility Mechanisms Using System’s Thinking – A Case Study of Munich and Singapore, by Christian Assmann, Madhur Jain, Simon Shepherd  Abstract

A system dynamics approach to gendered energy innovations in urban poor environments, by Josephine Musango  Abstract

Thursday July 23

07:00 Thu Parallel 6 Echo

Parallel (144)Echo: Toward Sustainable Energy. Environment Thread sponsored by University at Buffalo Geography Dept., chaired by (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Application of system dynamics for design of national energy and climate plan, by Andra Blumberga, Gatis Bazbauers, Armands Gravelsins, Dagnija Blumberga  Abstract

Paradigm shift for sustainable transport in tourist destination in Thailand, by Amphai Wejwithan, Hermann Knoflacher, Helga Kromp-Kolb, Tanawa Sintunawa  Abstract

Technological transformation in the electricity sector: How active demand-side management affects residential load curve?, by Maritza Jimenez, Isaac Dyner, Carlos Franco  Abstract

Parallel (215)Echo: Methods in Health Research. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by (Bryggen)

Advancing Community Engaged Approaches to Identifying Structural Drivers of Racial Bias in Health Diagnostic Algorithms, by Jill Kuhlberg, Irene Headen, Ellis Ballard, Donald Martin  Abstract

Building Interactive System Dynamics Simulations in R, by JD Caddell, Travis Connell, James Enos, Patrick Driscoll  Abstract

Addressing parameter uncertainty in SD models with fit-to-history and Monte-Carlo sensitivity methods, by Wayne Wakeland, Jack Homer  Abstract

WIP (208)Echo: Health Policy. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by Saeideh Fallah-Fini (Lyderhorn)

Building Policymaker Capacity to Address Maternal Mortality in the United States Using Systems Mapping and Modeling, by Leigh Alderman, Angela Snyder, Karen Minyard  Abstract

A critical reflection on approaches to problem articulation for system dynamics modelling in health policy analysis projects, by Sharif Ismail, Rachel Cassidy, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Neha S. Singh, Karl Blanchet, Josephine Borghi  Abstract

No Dieses Orphan: Technology, Economics, and Policy for Providing Equitable Health Amidst Extreme Inequity, by Chintan Vaishnav, Vijay Chandru  Abstract

Improving safety in the food chain: the case of Campylobacter bacterial contamination in poultry in the Netherlands, by Andrijana Horvat, Edien Rommens, Marloes Busscher, Alberto Garre Perez, Miriam Koene, Pieternel Luning, Cornelia van Daalen, Mohammad Jalali  Abstract

Assessing Intensive Care Unit Context for Implementing Evidence-Based Guidelines for Pediatric Severe Traumatic Brain Injury, by Mia Vogel, Braveheart Gillani, Jose Pineda Soto, Enola Proctor, David V. Habif, Peter Hovmand  Abstract

The Intersection of Implementation Science and Systems Science: A GMB Pilot Study for Effective Uptake of EBPs, by Nasim Sabounchi, Terry Huang, David Lounsbury, Weanne Estrada, Emily Ferris  Abstract

Parallel (219)Echo: Contagion Dynamics. Health Thread sponsored by Homer Consulting., chaired by (Nordnes)

Statics and Dynamics of Malaria Transmission. The Relationship between Prevalence in Humans and Mosquitoes., by Santiago Movilla Blanco  Abstract

The Drivers of Brucellosis Transmission in Jordan, by Haitham Taha, Carl Smith, Danielle Currie  Abstract

The Malaria Community Level Model: A Decision-Making Support Tool to Formulate Effective IVM Strategies., by Santiago Movilla Blanco  Abstract

Parallel (190)Echo: Dynamics of Human Behavior, chaired by Erin Stringfellow (Sognefjord)

Towards a Behavioural System Dynamics: Exploring its scope and delineating its promise, by David Lane  Abstract

A Supply and Demand Model of Political Party Growth, by John Hayward, Rebecca Jeffs, Paul Roach  Abstract

Vipassana Meditation: An Endogenous, Feedback-centred Approach to Human Mental Well-being, by Kaveh Dianati  Abstract

Parallel (148)Echo: Using information to gain knowledge (Rundemanen)

How network structure impacts socially reinforced diffusion?, by Jad Sassine, Hazhir Rahmandad  Abstract

Modeling Information Processing within Social Networks: Understanding the Persistence of Contrarian Health Beliefs , by Sara Metcalf, Harvey Palmer, Qiuyi Zhang, Mary Northridge  Abstract

Systems Thinking for Education Equity Partnership (STEEP): Building a Community of Practice of K-12 Educators in St. Louis, MO, by Allison Simpson, Carmen Stayton, Ellis Ballard, Sarah Tolch, Sherita Love, Saras Chung  Abstract

Parallel (129)Echo: Moving Novices Toward Problem Understanding Using SD (Hardangerfjord)

Guiding novices with abstract rules – the case of variables recognition, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

Scaffolding feedback in complex dynamic system context: Effect of online interactive learning environments, by Aklilu Tilahun Tadesse  Abstract

Microworld for learning about the diffusion of non-conventional Renewable electricity generation technologies in Colombia, by Verónica Marrero, Jessica Arias-Gaviria, Santiago Arango, Erik Larsen  Abstract

Parallel (157)Echo: Operations Management and Public Policy, chaired by (Ulriken)

The impact of Cash-Based Interventions on the dignity enhancement in persistent humanitarian refugee crises, by Saeed Taheri, Fahimeh Allahi, Ramez Kian, Ehsan Sabet, Sander de Leeuw  Abstract

System Dynamics Models to Guide Operations Management and Public Policy Research, by Jose Luis Lopez, David Keith, Edward Anderson  Abstract

Entity-based asset modeling, a databased model for infrastructure, by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros  Abstract

Parallel (196)Echo: Public Policy in Comparative Context. Public Policy Thread sponsored by Millennium Institute., chaired by ED Rebecca Niles (Fisketorget)

Democracies must deal with misleading advice regarding complex problems, by Erling Moxnes  Abstract

China (Mao Zedong policies design 1958), by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez, Pedro Dagoberto lAmaguer Navarro  Abstract

A State-of-the-Art Review: Ireland, a Model State?, by Sinéad Madden  Abstract

Parallel (179)Echo: Complex resource management tasks, chaired by Saeed Langarudi (Løvstakken)

Using Microworlds for Resilience Management of Food Systems, by Hugo Herrera, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Sustainability of Pance River as a Water Resource, by Nathalia Niño Giraldo  Abstract

How large is the global population when limited by long term sustainable global metal-, energy- and phosphate supply?, by Harald Ulrik Sverdrup, Anders Nordby, Deniz Koca, Anna Olafsdottir  Abstract

Parallel (227)Echo: Growth and Competition, chaired by Chintan Vaishnav (Sandviksfjellet)

The Dynamics of Competition and of the Diffusion of Innovation, by James Utterback  Abstract

Assessing prospects: electrification-based business model and deep uncertainty using scenario definition & sensitivity analysis, by Juliana Zapata Riveros, Matthias Speich, Mirjam West, Silvia Ulli-Beer  Abstract

Investigating the causes of the “growth-profitability efficacy syndrome”, by Si Cheng, Jeff Trailer  Abstract

07:30 (echo) Plenary (249)Echo: Community Engagement for Social Change using System Dynamics, chaired by Saras Chung (Plenary)

Practice reflections on engaging communities for social change with system dynamics, by Ellis Ballard, Kelsey Werner, Jill Kuhlberg  Abstract

Understanding the drivers of youth violence in an urban community, by Steve Peterson  Abstract

Challenges and opportunities of intervening in an early childhood education system, by Nishesh Chalise, Rachel Matsumoto, Hayley Butler, William Liem, Ellen O'Neill, Saras Chung  Abstract

08:00 Thu Workshops 1 A

Workshop (160): Repeat: Climate Action Simulation and En-ROADS Training (Part 1 of 2), chaired by Florian Kapmeier, Bindu Bhandari (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Climate Action Simulation and En-ROADS Training, by John Sterman, Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Florian Kapmeier, Carolyn McCarthy, ED Rebecca Niles, Juliette Rooney-Varga, Bindu Bhandari  Abstract

Workshop (247): Getting started with SD - the Agile path (Part 1 of 2), chaired by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer (Bryggen)

Getting started with SD - the Agile path, by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer, Christopher Spencer  Abstract

Workshop (108): Introduction to the Loop Impact Method of Feedback Dominance Analysis (Part 1 of 2), chaired by John Hayward (Fisketorget)

Introduction to the Loop Impact Method of Feedback Dominance Analysis, by John Hayward  Abstract

09:30 (echo) Plenary (250)Echo: The Curated Collections of Jay Forrester (Plenary)

Introducing: New Online Collection of Forrester’s Work in Social Dynamics, by George Richardson  Abstract

Economic Dynamics: Two Years from Completion, by Robert Eberlein  Abstract

10:00 Thu Workshops 2 A

Workshop (161): Repeat: Climate Action Simulation and En-ROADS Training (Part 2 of 2), chaired by Florian Kapmeier, Bindu Bhandari (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Workshop (262): Getting started with SD - the Agile path (Part 2 of 2), chaired by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer (Bryggen)

Workshop (201): Introduction to the Loop Impact Method of Feedback Dominance Analysis (Part 2 of 2), chaired by John Hayward (Fisketorget)

Workshop (114): Practitioner's Approach for Model Ownership, chaired by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros (Hardangerfjord)

Practitioner's Approach for Model Ownership, by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros  Abstract

12:00 Thu Roundtables 2 A

Other (230)Roundtable: Online peer mentoring groups – Give and receive feedback on your system dynamics work A, chaired by Andrijana Horvat (Sognefjord)

Other (130)Roundtable: System dynamics without simulation? A roundtable on qualitative system dynamics for constructivist research A, chaired by Natalie Savona (Bryggen)

16:30 Thu Workshops 1 B

Workshop (120): Start Macro Modeling with a MacroLab20 Template (Part 1 of 2), chaired by David Wheat, Alina Novik (Nordnes)

Start Macro Modeling with a MacroLab20 Template, by David Wheat, Alina Novik, Marianna Oliskevych  Abstract

Workshop (117): Climate Action Simulation and En-ROADS Training (Part 1 of 2), chaired by John Sterman, Thomas Fiddaman (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Climate Action Simulation and En-ROADS Training, by John Sterman, Thomas Fiddaman, Travis Franck, Florian Kapmeier, Carolyn McCarthy, ED Rebecca Niles, Juliette Rooney-Varga  Abstract

Workshop (264): Repeat: Getting started with SD - the Agile path (Part 1 of 2), chaired by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer (Bryggen)

Getting started with SD - the Agile path, by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer, Christopher Spencer  Abstract

Workshop (100): Feedback Rich Model Construction with Powersim Studio, chaired by Leonard Malczynski (Sandviksfjellet)

Feedback Rich Model Construction with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract

Workshop (115): SDM-Doc: The System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (Part 1 of 2), chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano (Lyderhorn)

SDM-Doc: The System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano  Abstract

Workshop (109): Getting Started with Stella, chaired by Karim Chichakly, Robert Eberlein (Løvstakken)

Getting Started with Stella, by Karim Chichakly, Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg, Sarah Davie  Abstract

Workshop (122): Engaging Stakeholders: Peace Engineering in the Arctic (Part 1 of 2), chaired by Nancy Hayden, Bernard Amadei (Fisketorget)

Engaging Stakeholders: Peace Engineering in the Arctic, by Nancy Hayden, Bernard Amadei, Hajo Eicken, Asmeret Naugle  Abstract

18:30 Thu Workshops 2 B

Workshop (265): Start Macro Modeling with a MacroLab20 Template (Part 2 of 2), chaired by David Wheat, Alina Novik (Nordnes)

Workshop (266): Climate Action Simulation and En-ROADS Training (Part 2 of 2), chaired by John Sterman, Thomas Fiddaman (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Workshop (269): Repeat: Getting started with SD - the Agile path (Part 2 of 2), chaired by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer (Bryggen)

Workshop (101): Starting from scratch: Better model construction, chaired by Leonard Malczynski (Sandviksfjellet)

Starting from scratch: Better model construction, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract

Workshop (124): Techniques for Creating a Popular Online Simulation, chaired by Michael Bean (Rundemanen)

Techniques for Creating a Popular Online Simulation, by Michael Bean  Abstract

Workshop (261): SDM-Doc: The System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (Part 2 of 2), chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano (Lyderhorn)

Workshop (110): Automated Loop Dominance Analysis in Stella using Loops That Matter, chaired by William Schoenberg, Robert Eberlein (Løvstakken)

Automated Loop Dominance Analysis in Stella using Loops That Matter, by William Schoenberg, Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, Sarah Davie  Abstract

Workshop (268): Engaging Stakeholders: Peace Engineering in the Arctic (Part 2 of 2), chaired by Nancy Hayden, Bernard Amadei (Fisketorget)

20:00 Thu Plenary (241): Award Ceremonies (Plenary)

Dana Meadows Award Ceremony, by Thomas Fiddaman  Abstract

System Dynamics Society Outstanding Service Award Ceremony, by David Andersen, Robert Eberlein, Andrew Ford, Roberta Spencer, Jac Vennix  Abstract

Barry Richmond Scholarship Award Ceremony, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly  Abstract

Lupina Young Researchers Award, by Jack Homer  Abstract

Additional Awards to be Announced, by ED Rebecca Niles  Abstract

23:00 Thu Roundtables 2 B

Other (230)Roundtable: Online peer mentoring groups – Give and receive feedback on your system dynamics work B, chaired by Andrijana Horvat (Sognefjord)

Other (130)Roundtable: System dynamics without simulation? A roundtable on qualitative system dynamics for constructivist research B, chaired by Natalie Savona (Bryggen)

Friday July 24

07:30 Fri Plenary (252): Conference Closing Ceremony (Plenary)

08:00 Fri Workshops 3 A

Workshop (200): Repeat: Start Macro Modeling with a MacroLab20 Template (Part 1 of 2), chaired by David Wheat, Alina Novik (Nordnes)

Start Macro Modeling with a MacroLab20 Template, by David Wheat, Alina Novik, Marianna Oliskevych  Abstract

Workshop (113): Repeat: Feedback Rich Model Construction with Powersim Studio, chaired by Leonard Malczynski (Sandviksfjellet)

Feedback Rich Model Construction with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract

Workshop (112): SUSTAIN: an SD-based boardgame for urban sustainability (Part 1 of 2), chaired by Stefano Armenia, Federico Barnabè (Damsgårdsfjellet)

SUSTAIN: an SD-based boardgame for urban sustainability, by Stefano Armenia, Federico Barnabè, Rocco Scolozzi, Natalia Ciobanu, Georgios Tsaples  Abstract

Workshop (228): Building Interactive System Maps with Kumu, chaired by Jeff Mohr (Fisketorget)

Building Interactive System Maps with Kumu, by Jeff Mohr  Abstract

10:00 Fri Workshops 4 A

Workshop (202): Repeat: Start Macro Modeling with a MacroLab20 Template (Part 2 of 2), chaired by David Wheat, Alina Novik (Nordnes)

Workshop (263): SUSTAIN: an SD-based boardgame for urban sustainability (Part 2 of 2), chaired by Stefano Armenia, Federico Barnabè (Damsgårdsfjellet)

Workshop (123): Mapping stakeholder’s mental models of complex systems with M-Tool, chaired by Karlijn van den Broek (Hardangerfjord)

Mapping stakeholder’s mental models of complex systems with M-Tool, by Karlijn van den Broek  Abstract

16:30 Fri Workshops 3 B

Workshop (102): Modeling Psycho-Social Dynamics (Part 1 of 2), chaired by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury (Sognefjord)

Modeling Psycho-Social Dynamics, by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury  Abstract

Workshop (105): Building System Dynamics Models From the News, chaired by Diana Fisher (Bryggen)

Building System Dynamics Models From the News, by Diana Fisher  Abstract

Workshop (246): Move your in-person simulation workshop to online delivery, chaired by Michael Bean (Rundemanen)

Move your in-person simulation workshop to online delivery, by Michael Bean  Abstract

Workshop (111): Building and Sharing Online Simulations Using Stella, chaired by William Schoenberg, Robert Eberlein (Løvstakken)

Building and Sharing Online Simulations Using Stella, by William Schoenberg, Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, Sarah Davie  Abstract

Workshop (118): Model Analysis with Vensim, chaired by Thomas Fiddaman (Lyderhorn)

Model Analysis with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman  Abstract

Workshop (127): Repeat: Mapping stakeholder’s mental models of complex systems with M-Tool, chaired by Karlijn van den Broek (Hardangerfjord)

Mapping stakeholder’s mental models of complex systems with M-Tool, by Karlijn van den Broek  Abstract

Workshop (121): Adapting group model building scripts for use in diverse community contexts, chaired by Ellis Ballard, Allison Simpson (Fisketorget)

Adapting group model building scripts for use in diverse community contexts, by Ellis Ballard, Allison Simpson, Kelsey Werner, Jill Kuhlberg, William Liem, Sarah Pritchard  Abstract

18:30 Fri Workshops 4 B

Workshop (267): Modeling Psycho-Social Dynamics (Part 2 of 2), chaired by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury (Sognefjord)

Workshop (107): Teaching Students to Create Original Models in a Ten-Week Course, chaired by Diana Fisher (Bryggen)

Teaching Students to Create Original Models in a Ten-Week Course, by Diana Fisher  Abstract

Workshop (103): Publish Your Interactive Simulations Online with Forio Epicenter, chaired by Michael Bean (Hardangerfjord)

Publish Your Interactive Simulations Online with Forio Epicenter, by Michael Bean  Abstract

Workshop (119): Getting Started with Ventity, chaired by Thomas Fiddaman (Lyderhorn)

Getting Started with Ventity, by Thomas Fiddaman  Abstract

Workshop (104): Optimization and Calibration with Stella, chaired by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly (Løvstakken)

Optimization and Calibration with Stella, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg, Sarah Davie  Abstract

Workshop (229): Repeat: Building Interactive System Maps with Kumu, chaired by Jeff Mohr (Fisketorget)

Building Interactive System Maps with Kumu, by Jeff Mohr  Abstract

20:00 (echo) Plenary (252)Echo: Conference Closing Ceremony (Plenary)

System Dynamics Society
Tentative schedule updated: July 1, 2020.